AEO Options History — March 2010 In March 2010, AEO traded between $16.73 and $19.34. ATM implied volatility averaged 35.5%, placing in the 17.4% IV rank vs the trailing year. The 30-day expected move averaged 9.9%. IV traded above realized volatility by 2.5% (HV 20d: 33.0%). Max pain ranged from $15.00 to $17.50. Net GEX was positive for 23 of 23 trading days. Term structure was in contango for 5 of 23 days. Put/call ratio averaged 0.56.
Notable Days 2010-03-24 : Highest Volume — 40,042 contracts2010-03-10 : Largest IV drop — 32.2% change2010-03-09 : Highest IV Rank — 35.3%2010-03-03 : Largest Expected Move — 11.6%Monthly Statistics Metric Avg Min Max Open Close Price $18.38 $16.73 $19.34 $17.55 $18.52 Max Pain $17.17 $15.00 $17.50 $15.00 $17.50 ATM IV 35.5% 31.6% 47.6% 36.0% 37.5% Expected Move 9.9% 9.0% 11.6% 10.3% 10.8% HV 20d 33.0% 28.7% 35.6% 30.8% 33.8% HV 60d 29.5% 26.9% 30.7% 27.1% 30.7% IV Rank 17.4% 10.0% 35.3% 15.2% 26.5% IV Percentile 9.9% 1.6% 51.2% 6.0% 14.3% Term Structure -1.5% -4.9% 0.6% -2.6% -2.9% VWIV 36.1% 31.4% 57.6% 36.0% 37.5% Skew 25d 5.9% 0.7% 10.8% 5.0% 1.2% Skew 10d 12.0% 0.6% 31.5% 7.1% 0.6% Call IV 25d 30.9% 26.5% 37.2% 26.5% 35.8% Put IV 25d 36.8% 29.9% 47.0% 31.5% 37.0% Bid-Ask Spread % 10.33 6.15 19.64 7.18 13.41 Gamma HHI 0.44 0.23 0.66 0.53 0.41 Net GEX 570.3K 48.3K 996.8K 515.7K 824.4K Net DEX -21.7M -33.9M -729.9K -13.9M -20.5M Net VEX -128.9K -136.5K -120.5K -120.5K -135.0K Div Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% P/C Ratio 0.56 0.00 2.18 0.63 0.86 Total Volume 5,362.217 562 40,042 5,439 863 Total OI 47,860.174 40,479 53,816 40,479 49,132
Daily Data (23 trading days) Date Price Max Pain ATM IV Exp Move HV 20d IV Rank VWIV Skew 25d Term Str GEX DEX VEX P/C Spread % Call Vol Put Vol Call OI Put OI 2010-03-01 $17.55 $15.00 36.0% 10.3% 30.8% 15.2% 36.0% 5.0% -2.6% 515.7K -13.9M -120.5K 0.63 7.18 3,334 2,105 23,408 17,071 2010-03-02 $17.45 $17.50 39.5% 11.3% 30.6% 21.2% 39.5% 0.7% -4.7% 480.7K -13.0M -125.8K 0.71 6.15 3,268 2,319 24,757 18,365 2010-03-03 $17.46 $17.50 40.6% 11.6% 28.8% 23.1% 40.2% 3.4% -4.9% 416.9K -12.2M -127.6K 0.66 6.49 1,327 872 25,260 19,662 2010-03-04 $16.73 $17.50 38.6% 11.1% 32.4% 19.7% 39.2% 10.6% -4.5% 334.9K -5.4M -123.7K 1.21 13.61 5,009 6,079 25,613 20,024 2010-03-05 $16.74 $17.50 42.0% 10.3% 28.9% 25.6% 35.8% 10.8% -2.2% 48.3K -729.9K -126.2K 0.24 8.73 3,455 838 24,582 23,327 2010-03-08 $16.80 $17.50 40.8% 10.0% 28.7% 23.5% 34.5% 10.6% 0.2% 471.0K -6.9M -121.7K 0.95 10.39 1,120 1,064 26,332 19,335 2010-03-09 $17.15 $17.50 47.6% 10.9% 29.3% 35.3% 40.7% 6.2% -2.7% 595.5K -11.6M -125.2K 0.19 19.64 8,811 1,706 26,997 18,692 2010-03-10 $18.20 $15.00 32.3% 9.8% 34.9% 10.0% 33.9% 6.2% -1.0% 996.8K -29.8M -126.1K 0.24 13.62 6,427 1,568 31,754 19,503 2010-03-11 $18.71 $15.00 35.1% 10.1% 35.6% 18.5% 34.3% 4.5% -0.7% 510.6K -33.4M -122.5K 0.49 6.99 4,146 2,038 30,783 20,459 2010-03-12 $18.74 $17.50 36.5% 10.5% 35.4% 21.8% 31.4% 6.9% -1.3% 495.8K -30.9M -131.5K 0.16 9.71 2,147 345 31,231 21,676 2010-03-15 $19.00 $17.50 31.7% 9.1% 35.2% 10.5% 33.4% 8.3% 0.6% 537.0K -33.3M -132.2K 0.29 9.34 1,330 388 31,825 21,515 2010-03-16 $19.02 $17.50 32.1% 9.2% 35.2% 11.5% 33.5% 6.4% -0.5% 542.4K -33.4M -131.3K 0.19 7.60 1,193 232 32,048 21,481 2010-03-17 $19.00 $17.50 31.8% 9.1% 35.2% 10.7% 31.7% 7.0% -0.5% 553.7K -33.5M -131.8K 0.15 9.47 584 88 32,267 21,458 2010-03-18 $19.08 $17.50 31.6% 9.0% 34.2% 10.2% 32.1% 6.5% -0.5% 554.1K -33.9M -131.8K 2.18 8.56 177 385 32,105 21,453 2010-03-19 $18.88 $17.50 32.6% 9.4% 34.8% 12.7% 32.9% 3.3% -0.3% 546.3K -31.9M -131.9K 0.93 12.90 765 712 32,009 21,807 2010-03-22 $19.19 $17.50 31.8% 9.1% 34.2% 10.7% 31.9% 5.7% 0.4% 511.6K -22.2M -128.8K 0.59 9.32 2,598 1,538 25,038 17,557 2010-03-23 $19.33 $17.50 31.6% 9.1% 33.5% 11.4% 32.2% 6.6% 0.0% 691.4K -24.5M -132.1K 1.34 12.16 405 544 27,216 17,757 2010-03-24 $18.98 $17.50 32.2% 9.2% 33.8% 12.9% 57.6% 3.4% 0.6% 579.2K -21.3M -130.8K 0.00 9.12 39,991 51 26,322 17,812 2010-03-25 $19.34 $17.50 34.3% 9.8% 34.1% 18.1% 34.3% 7.6% -1.8% 595.4K -23.0M -130.7K 0.34 11.04 3,179 1,075 25,469 17,833 2010-03-26 $19.26 $17.50 33.2% 9.5% 33.8% 15.4% 33.9% 7.3% -0.9% 730.3K -22.7M -132.4K 0.38 10.87 1,203 452 27,015 17,980 2010-03-29 $18.78 $17.50 34.2% 9.8% 33.3% 18.0% 34.6% 3.7% -1.6% 674.0K -18.0M -128.8K 0.11 11.39 6,109 695 27,192 18,216 2010-03-30 $18.82 $17.50 33.8% 9.7% 33.1% 17.1% 38.1% 4.3% -1.9% 911.2K -23.0M -136.5K 0.08 9.87 737 59 31,223 18,223 2010-03-31 $18.52 $17.50 37.5% 10.8% 33.8% 26.5% 37.5% 1.2% -2.9% 824.4K -20.5M -135.0K 0.86 13.41 464 399 30,900 18,232
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