AEO Options History — February 2010

In February 2010, AEO traded between $15.73 and $17.04. ATM implied volatility averaged 38.3%, placing in the 19.2% IV rank vs the trailing year. The 30-day expected move averaged 11.3%. IV traded above realized volatility by 10.4% (HV 20d: 27.9%). Max pain ranged from $15.00 to $15.00. Net GEX was positive for 19 of 19 trading days. Term structure was in contango for 5 of 19 days. Put/call ratio averaged 0.88.

Notable Days

  • 2010-02-04: Highest Volume — 4,236 contracts
  • 2010-02-11: Largest IV spike — 16.4% change
  • 2010-02-11: Highest IV Rank — 29.0%
  • 2010-02-08: Largest Expected Move — 13.1%

Monthly Statistics

MetricAvgMinMaxOpenClose
Price$16.34$15.73$17.04$16.18$16.87
Max Pain$15.00$15.00$15.00$15.00$15.00
ATM IV38.3%33.2%44.0%39.3%34.7%
Expected Move11.3%9.5%13.1%11.3%10.0%
HV 20d27.9%25.5%30.9%28.0%28.1%
HV 60d29.1%26.1%38.2%37.6%26.1%
IV Rank19.2%10.5%29.0%20.9%13.1%
IV Percentile11.4%1.6%31.3%8.7%3.6%
Term Structure-0.9%-4.1%5.5%4.8%-1.8%
VWIV38.7%33.7%43.4%38.0%34.7%
Skew 25d7.5%-0.8%13.3%2.3%11.1%
Skew 10d19.1%4.2%60.0%4.2%18.3%
Call IV 25d35.3%28.7%40.8%36.2%30.8%
Put IV 25d42.8%37.6%47.9%38.5%42.0%
Bid-Ask Spread %12.307.7817.6611.6410.66
Gamma HHI0.450.380.580.460.49
Net GEX331.1K218.0K561.1K327.3K411.5K
Net DEX-5.4M-9.9M-1.2M-5.2M-8.8M
Net VEX-123.5K-134.5K-117.3K-128.2K-119.8K
Div Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
P/C Ratio0.880.035.330.650.17
Total Volume1,502.7895024,2362,328662
Total OI49,602.42138,33954,83349,74940,332

Daily Data (19 trading days)

DatePriceMax PainATM IVExp MoveHV 20dIV RankVWIVSkew 25dTerm StrGEXDEXVEXP/CSpread %Call VolPut VolCall OIPut OI
2010-02-01$16.18$15.0039.3%11.3%28.0%20.9%38.0%2.3%4.8%327.3K-5.2M-128.2K0.6511.641,40892028,08321,666
2010-02-02$16.70$15.0034.4%9.9%30.4%12.6%35.1%7.8%4.6%437.0K-9.1M-134.3K0.0913.202,99825828,25421,978
2010-02-03$16.43$15.0039.5%11.3%28.4%21.3%41.4%5.4%0.3%391.0K-6.8M-134.5K0.4912.412,6931,31028,50721,908
2010-02-04$15.81$15.0038.8%11.1%30.9%20.1%38.6%-0.8%5.5%248.9K-1.7M-126.3K0.219.293,51172529,53822,642
2010-02-05$15.73$15.0040.7%12.8%29.4%23.4%40.7%7.1%-2.8%253.5K-1.4M-128.9K1.7911.805611,00730,94622,878
2010-02-08$15.74$15.0041.9%13.1%28.1%25.3%40.7%6.7%-4.1%235.3K-1.2M-125.1K1.8817.4332060130,82122,707
2010-02-09$16.06$15.0040.1%12.9%28.0%22.3%40.9%9.4%-3.6%333.9K-3.6M-127.2K0.347.7851617830,98622,947
2010-02-10$16.02$15.0037.8%12.9%28.0%18.4%39.0%8.5%-3.7%302.5K-3.2M-125.4K0.379.1556121031,30022,897
2010-02-11$15.98$15.0044.0%12.6%27.5%29.0%41.3%7.1%-2.6%284.9K-2.7M-122.6K0.478.191,06950131,50722,687
2010-02-12$15.93$15.0043.0%12.3%25.5%27.4%41.9%6.2%-3.0%235.9K-2.3M-121.5K0.9912.5543743331,71923,077
2010-02-16$16.20$15.0043.1%12.4%26.3%27.5%43.4%7.4%-3.3%218.0K-4.6M-118.2K1.4810.3940760231,03723,232
2010-02-17$16.20$15.0041.5%11.9%26.3%24.7%39.6%4.7%-2.4%218.9K-4.6M-117.3K5.3313.978344231,04323,426
2010-02-18$16.70$15.0035.5%10.2%27.9%14.4%38.2%11.0%-0.7%448.0K-7.9M-120.8K0.6413.2793560331,05323,549
2010-02-19$16.85$15.0035.0%10.0%27.5%13.5%36.8%10.1%-0.7%561.1K-8.7M-120.5K0.4714.8969332531,14023,693
2010-02-22$16.62$15.0034.9%10.0%26.5%13.3%38.0%10.9%-1.2%289.5K-6.6M-117.5K0.4313.8487438021,81016,529
2010-02-23$16.43$15.0036.1%10.3%26.7%15.4%36.7%6.2%-2.0%275.2K-5.5M-117.9K0.1314.8686011022,32116,749
2010-02-24$16.90$15.0033.2%9.5%27.9%10.5%33.7%8.2%0.4%394.2K-8.8M-120.3K0.0317.664891322,88616,798
2010-02-25$17.04$15.0033.6%9.6%27.9%11.2%35.9%13.3%-0.8%423.6K-9.9M-120.0K0.6710.7351434422,99116,809
2010-02-26$16.87$15.0034.7%10.0%28.1%13.1%34.7%11.1%-1.8%411.5K-8.8M-119.8K0.1710.665689423,31917,013