T-REX 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU) Max Pain Analysis
Max pain is the strike price where aggregate option buyer payout is minimized at expiration. It represents the price at which option writers retain the most premium.
T-REX 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Asset Management industry, with a market capitalization near $163.3M, listed on CBOE, carrying a beta of 4.39 to the broader market. The fund, under normal circumstances, invests in swap agreements that provide 200% daily exposure to MSTR equal to at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes). public since 2024-09-18.
Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $7.86
- Max Pain Strike
- $8.00
- Total OI
- 172.7K
As of May 15, 2026, T-REX 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU) max pain sits at $8.00, which is essentially at the current spot price of $7.86 (1.8% away). Spot sits within 2% of the max-pain level for T-REX 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF, the band where dealer hedging activity around the high-OI strikes can meaningfully reinforce a closing-week pin. MSTU is a low-priced underlying (spot $7.86), where $0.50 or finer strike spacing increases the number of viable pin candidates and dampens the dominant-strike effect. Total open interest across the listed chain (172.7K contracts) is healthy but not dominant; pinning effects can show but are not guaranteed. MSTU is currently in positive dealer gamma ($235.5K), the regime that mechanically reinforces pinning by inducing dealers to buy weakness and sell strength near heavy-OI strikes. Max pain identifies the strike at which the aggregate dollar value of all outstanding options contracts would expire with the least total intrinsic value, a gravitational reference rather than a price target.
MSTU Strategy Implications at the Current Max Pain Level
With spot 1.8% from the $8.00 max-pain level and T-REX 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF in a positive-gamma regime, where dealer hedging mechanically pulls spot toward heavy-OI strikes, strategy selection turns on cycle position and dealer positioning. Iron condors and credit spreads centered near the max-pain strike capture the typical end-of-cycle convergence when the regime supports pinning; ratio backspreads or directional debit structures fit names where catalyst flow is likely to overwhelm the hedging-driven pull. The gamma-exposure page shows the per-strike dealer book that determines whether hedging will reinforce or fight the pin.
Learn how max pain is reported and how to read the data →
Frequently asked MSTU max pain analysis questions
- What is the current MSTU max pain strike?
- As of May 15, 2026, T-REX 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU) max pain sits at $8.00, which is 1.8% above the current spot price of $7.86. Max pain identifies the strike at which aggregate option-buyer payouts at expiration are minimized; it is a gravitational reference, not a price target. At a 1.8% distance, MSTU sits inside the band where dealer hedging can mechanically pull spot toward max pain during the closing week of the expiration cycle.
- Does MSTU pin to its max pain strike at expiration?
- MSTU is currently in positive dealer gamma, the regime that mechanically reinforces pinning. Dealers hedging long-gamma books buy weakness and sell strength near high-OI strikes, which pulls spot toward those levels into expiration. Total open interest across MSTU (172.7K contracts) is one input to how plausible a clean pin is - heavier total OI concentrated at fewer strikes raises the probability; thin OI spread across many strikes lowers it. Pinning is strongest in heavily-traded names with large open-interest concentrations at high-OI strikes during the final week of an OPEX cycle. Whether MSTU actually pins on a given expiration depends on the OI distribution, the dealer-gamma sign, and the absence of catalyst-driven moves that overwhelm hedging-driven flow.
- How is MSTU max pain calculated?
- Max pain is computed by summing the dollar value of all in-the-money options at each candidate settlement strike across listed expirations, then selecting the strike that minimizes total intrinsic-value payout to option buyers. The calculation uses the full open-interest distribution and weighs both calls and puts. MSTU put/call OI ratio is 0.29 - call-heavy, which biases the max-pain calculation toward strikes above current spot when the call OI concentrates there.