XOM Butterfly Strategy
XOM (Exxon Mobil Corporation), in the Energy sector, (Oil & Gas Integrated industry), listed on NYSE.
Exxon Mobil Corporation explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in the United States and internationally. It operates through Upstream, Downstream, and Chemical segments. The company is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; manufactures and sells petrochemicals, including olefins, polyolefins, aromatics, and various other petrochemicals; and captures and stores carbon, hydrogen, and biofuels. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 20,528 net operated wells with proved reserves. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
XOM (Exxon Mobil Corporation) trades in the Energy sector, specifically Oil & Gas Integrated, with a market capitalization of approximately $628.21B, a trailing P/E of 25.04, a beta of 0.18 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 101.19-176.41, average daily share volume of 21.4M, a public-listing history dating back to 1978, approximately 61K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how XOM stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 0.18 indicates XOM has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure. XOM pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on XOM?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current XOM snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $157.37, ATM IV 30.88%, IV rank 71.78%, expected move 8.85%. The butterfly on XOM below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 28-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on XOM specifically: XOM IV at 30.88% is rich versus its 1-year range, which makes a premium-buying XOM butterfly relatively expensive in absolute-cost terms, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 8.85% (roughly $13.93 on the underlying). The 28-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated XOM expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on XOM should anchor to the underlying notional of $157.37 per share and to the trader's directional view on XOM stock.
XOM butterfly setup
The XOM butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With XOM near $157.37, the first option leg uses a $150.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed XOM chain at a 28-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 XOM shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $150.00 | $9.98 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $155.00 | $6.83 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $165.00 | $2.66 |
XOM butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- +$101.50
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $601.23
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$398.50
- Breakeven(s)
- $161.02
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 1.509
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
XOM butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on XOM. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | +$101.50 |
| $34.80 | -77.9% | +$101.50 |
| $69.60 | -55.8% | +$101.50 |
| $104.39 | -33.7% | +$101.50 |
| $139.19 | -11.6% | +$101.50 |
| $173.98 | +10.6% | -$398.50 |
| $208.78 | +32.7% | -$398.50 |
| $243.57 | +54.8% | -$398.50 |
| $278.36 | +76.9% | -$398.50 |
| $313.16 | +99.0% | -$398.50 |
When traders use butterfly on XOM
Butterflies on XOM are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect XOM to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
XOM thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for XOM extends from approximately $143.44 on the downside to $171.30 on the upside. A XOM long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if XOM settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current XOM IV rank near 71.78% sits in the upper third of its 1-year distribution, which historically reverts; this raises the bar for premium-buying structures and lowers it for premium-selling structures on XOM at 30.88%. As a Energy name, XOM options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to XOM-specific events.
XOM butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. XOM positions also carry Energy sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move XOM alongside the broader basket even when XOM-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current XOM chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on XOM?
- A butterfly on XOM is the butterfly strategy applied to XOM (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With XOM stock trading near $157.37, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed XOM chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are XOM butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the XOM butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 30.88%), the computed maximum profit is $601.23 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$398.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a XOM butterfly?
- The breakeven for the XOM butterfly priced on this page is roughly $161.02 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current XOM market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 8.85%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on XOM?
- Butterflies on XOM are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect XOM to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current XOM implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- XOM ATM IV is at 30.88% with IV rank near 71.78%, which is elevated relative to its 1-year range. Premium-selling structures (covered call, cash-secured put, iron condor) generally look more attractive when IV rank is high; premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are more expensive in that regime.