Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Financial - Credit Services industry, with a market capitalization near $2.58B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 1,193 people, carrying a beta of 2.26 to the broader market. Upstart Holdings, Inc. Led by David J. Girouard, public since 2020-12-16.

Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.

Spot Price
$29.71
ATM IV
71.0%
HV 20-Day
68.7%
HV 60-Day
69.1%
IV Rank
26.3%
IV Percentile
39.7%

As of May 15, 2026, Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) ATM implied volatility is 71.0%. 20-day realized volatility is 68.7%, producing an IV-HV spread of +2.3 vol points. Options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently delivered, the volatility risk premium. IV rank is 26.3%.

How UPST iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on Upstart Holdings, Inc. options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 71.0% and dealer gamma exposure is positive, so dealer hedging is mechanically mean-reverting. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Frequently asked UPST iv/hv history questions

Is UPST options pricing rich or cheap right now?
As of May 15, 2026, Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) ATM IV is 71.0% against 20-day realized volatility of 68.7%. IV rank is 26.3%. UPST options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 2.3 vol points.
What is the UPST variance risk premium?
The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. UPST is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does UPST IV rank mean for strategy selection?
IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. UPST's current rank of 26.3% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.