Is UBS options pricing rich or cheap right now?

As of Sep 30, 2026, UBS Group AG (UBS) ATM IV is 31.3% against 20-day realized volatility of 28.8%. IV rank is 39.7%. UBS options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 2.5 vol points.

What is the UBS variance risk premium?

The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. UBS is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.

What does UBS IV rank mean for strategy selection?

IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. UBS's current rank of 39.7% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.

UBS Group AG (UBS) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

UBS Group AG (UBS) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Banks - Diversified industry, with a market capitalization near $157.76B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 103,177 people, carrying a beta of 0.83 to the broader market. UBS Group AG, a financial services giant headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, since its founding in 1862 (and known as UBS AG until its name change in December 2014), delivers a comprehensive range of financial advice and solutions to a global clientele of private individuals, institutions, and corporations. Led by Sergio Ermotti, public since 2000-05-16.

Snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026.

Spot Price: $48.12
ATM IV: 31.3%
HV 20-Day: 28.8%
HV 60-Day: 25.7%
IV Rank: 39.7%
IV Percentile: 75.4%

As of Sep 30, 2026, UBS Group AG (UBS) ATM implied volatility is 31.3%. 20-day realized volatility is 28.8%, producing an IV-HV spread of +2.5 vol points. Options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently delivered, the volatility risk premium. IV rank is 39.7%.

How UBS iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on UBS Group AG options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 31.3% and dealer gamma exposure is negative, so dealer hedging amplifies directional moves. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

How to read the UBS IV vs HV chart

The dual-line chart above tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV currently prints at 31.3%, 39.7% IV rank, against 28.8% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is pricing above realized by 2.5 vol points, the typical variance-risk-premium positive state in which premium sellers earn the gap. Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.

UBS IV/HV regimes and trade selection

UBS IV rank at 39.7% sits mid-range - no structural edge from rank alone. Strategy choice should follow event calendar and the dealer-positioning read.

Using UBS vol history alongside the term structure

The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Term structure is roughly flat at 0.009, no strong near vs far premium being priced. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.

UBS IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context

Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. UBS's 39.7% IV rank places the ticker in the mid-range of its 1-year window - no strong cycle-position signal. The ratio of HV-20 (28.8%) to HV-60 (25.7%) gives a second cycle indicator: when 20-day exceeds 60-day, recent realization is running hotter than the trailing-quarter average - typically a sign that recent days have already started expanding vol regardless of where IV rank prints. Use the time series above to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for UBS over the last ~42 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.

Daily values from end-of-day option_ticker_snapshots. Series sparse on illiquid tickers reflects gaps in the upstream end-of-day options data feed.

Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.

Date	ATM IV	HV 20d	HV 60d	IV Rank
Sep 30, 2026	31.3%	28.8%	25.7%	39.7%
Sep 29, 2026	32.0%	29.8%	25.7%	42.1%
Sep 28, 2026	33.1%	30.6%	26.3%	46.0%
Sep 25, 2026	28.8%	30.5%	26.3%	30.9%
Sep 24, 2026	31.3%	28.6%	25.9%	39.7%
Sep 23, 2026	28.5%	28.0%	25.7%	29.8%
Sep 22, 2026	27.3%	26.7%	24.9%	25.6%
Sep 21, 2026	26.1%	24.6%	24.2%	21.4%
Sep 18, 2026	26.2%	24.4%	24.2%	21.8%
Sep 17, 2026	27.0%	24.4%	24.6%	24.6%
Sep 16, 2026	27.7%	24.3%	24.7%	27.0%
Sep 15, 2026	26.5%	23.3%	24.2%	22.8%
Sep 14, 2026	26.3%	20.8%	23.8%	22.1%
Sep 11, 2026	24.8%	17.8%	23.0%	16.8%
Sep 10, 2026	25.5%	17.2%	23.0%	19.3%

Frequently asked UBS iv/hv history questions

Is UBS options pricing rich or cheap right now?: As of Sep 30, 2026, UBS Group AG (UBS) ATM IV is 31.3% against 20-day realized volatility of 28.8%. IV rank is 39.7%. UBS options are pricing in more volatility than the stock has recently realized: a positive variance risk premium worth 2.5 vol points.
What is the UBS variance risk premium?: The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. UBS is currently priced consistently with this premium, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does UBS IV rank mean for strategy selection?: IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. UBS's current rank of 39.7% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.