Textron Inc. (TXT) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Snapshot as of May 5, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $91.76
- Expected Move
- 9.3%
- Implied High
- $100.26
- Implied Low
- $83.26
- Front DTE
- 44 days
As of May 5, 2026, Textron Inc. (TXT) has an expected move of 9.26%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $83.26 to $100.26 from the current $91.76. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
Per-expiration expected move for TXT derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $91.76 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | 10 | 32.3% | 5.3% | $96.67 | $86.85 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 44 | 28.1% | 9.8% | $100.71 | $82.81 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 108 | 29.5% | 16.0% | $106.48 | $77.04 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 136 | 29.0% | 17.7% | $108.00 | $75.52 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 199 | 30.5% | 22.5% | $112.42 | $71.10 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 227 | 30.8% | 24.3% | $114.05 | $69.47 |