Is TSM options pricing rich or cheap right now?

As of Jul 24, 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) ATM IV is 49.8% against 20-day realized volatility of 54.8%. IV rank is 74.7%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.

What is the TSM variance risk premium?

The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. TSM is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.

What does TSM IV rank mean for strategy selection?

IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. TSM's current rank of 74.7% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) operates in the Technology sector, specifically the Semiconductors industry, with a market capitalization near $2.09T, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 65,152 people, carrying a beta of 1.25 to the broader market. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC), along with its affiliated entities, operates globally in the semiconductor industry, specializing in the manufacturing, packaging, meticulous testing, and worldwide distribution of integrated circuits and other crucial semiconductor components. Led by C. C. Wei, public since 1997-10-09.

Snapshot as of Jul 24, 2026.

Spot Price: $401.91
ATM IV: 49.8%
HV 20-Day: 54.8%
HV 60-Day: 48.3%
IV Rank: 74.7%
IV Percentile: 89.7%

As of Jul 24, 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) ATM implied volatility is 49.8%. 20-day realized volatility is 54.8%, producing an IV-HV spread of -5.0 vol points. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied, an inversion that can signal a pending IV expansion. IV rank is 74.7%.

How TSM iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 49.8% and dealer gamma exposure is negative, so dealer hedging amplifies directional moves. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

How to read the TSM IV vs HV chart

The dual-line chart above tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV currently prints at 49.8%, 74.7% IV rank, against 54.8% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is currently below realized by 5.0 vol points, an inverted regime where premium buyers are underpaying for the move - rare and often a setup for IV expansion. Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.

TSM IV/HV regimes and trade selection

TSM sits in the top quartile of its 1-year IV range. High-IV-rank regimes statistically favor premium-selling - the elevated implied is more likely to mean-revert than to expand further. Iron condors, covered calls, and cash-secured puts collect more premium per unit of notional risk; size wings to the implied move and exit on first sign of HV catching up.

Using TSM vol history alongside the term structure

The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Term structure is roughly flat at 0.003, no strong near vs far premium being priced. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.

TSM IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context

Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. TSM's current 74.7% IV rank places the ticker in the expansion or stress phase of that cycle. Premium-selling carries the typical structural tailwind here, but the mean-reverting compression that completes the cycle has historically arrived sharply rather than gradually. The ratio of HV-20 (54.8%) to HV-60 (48.3%) gives a second cycle indicator: when 20-day exceeds 60-day, recent realization is running hotter than the trailing-quarter average - typically a sign that recent days have already started expanding vol regardless of where IV rank prints. Use the time series above to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for TSM over the last ~38 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.

Daily values from end-of-day option_ticker_snapshots. Series sparse on illiquid tickers reflects gaps in the upstream end-of-day options data feed.

Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.

Date	ATM IV	HV 20d	HV 60d	IV Rank
Jul 24, 2026	49.8%	54.8%	48.3%	74.7%
Jul 23, 2026	50.3%	54.0%	47.9%	76.6%
Jul 22, 2026	50.9%	53.6%	49.0%	78.7%
Jul 21, 2026	51.5%	57.4%	49.1%	81.0%
Jul 20, 2026	53.3%	53.6%	49.2%	87.3%
Jul 17, 2026	53.1%	59.1%	49.1%	86.8%
Jul 16, 2026	50.2%	59.0%	49.0%	76.2%
Jul 15, 2026	50.3%	58.4%	48.4%	76.5%
Jul 14, 2026	52.7%	60.3%	49.0%	85.2%
Jul 13, 2026	53.6%	60.4%	49.1%	88.7%
Jul 10, 2026	52.3%	59.4%	48.8%	83.7%
Jul 9, 2026	54.7%	60.7%	48.8%	92.5%
Jul 8, 2026	55.8%	60.7%	48.9%	96.5%
Jul 7, 2026	54.8%	61.1%	48.9%	92.9%
Jul 6, 2026	56.4%	62.6%	48.7%	98.5%

Frequently asked TSM iv/hv history questions

Is TSM options pricing rich or cheap right now?: As of Jul 24, 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) ATM IV is 49.8% against 20-day realized volatility of 54.8%. IV rank is 74.7%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.
What is the TSM variance risk premium?: The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. TSM is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does TSM IV rank mean for strategy selection?: IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. TSM's current rank of 74.7% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.