TOST Butterfly Strategy

TOST (Toast, Inc.), in the Technology sector, (Software - Infrastructure industry), listed on NYSE.

Toast, Inc. delivers a comprehensive cloud-based digital technology platform tailored specifically for the restaurant sector, serving businesses across the United States and Ireland. Its extensive product suite features an array of hardware solutions, including the foundational Toast Point of Sale (POS) system. Toast Flex offers versatile functionality, adaptable as an on-counter order and payment terminal, a server workstation, a guest kiosk, a kitchen display system, or an order fulfillment hub. For enhanced tableside service and expedited table turnover, the company provides Toast Go, a handheld POS device facilitating ordering and payment acceptance directly at the table, alongside Toast Tap, a compact card reader. Beyond hardware, Toast supplies robust software solutions. Toast Order & Pay empowers guests to place orders and settle bills conveniently from their mobile devices.

TOST (Toast, Inc.) trades in the Technology sector, specifically Software - Infrastructure, with a market capitalization of approximately $15.71B, a trailing P/E of 38.58, a beta of 1.76 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 22.26-49.66, average daily share volume of 11.3M, a public-listing history dating back to 2021, approximately 6K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how TOST stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 1.76 indicates TOST has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position. The trailing P/E of 38.58 is on the rich side, which tends to correlate with higher earnings-window IV expansion as the market debates whether forward growth supports the multiple.

What is a butterfly on TOST?

A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.

Current TOST snapshot

As of June 30, 2026, spot at $27.73, ATM IV 49.45%, IV rank 51.40%, expected move 14.18%. The butterfly on TOST below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 31-day expiry.

Why this butterfly structure on TOST specifically: TOST IV at 49.45% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 14.18% (roughly $3.93 on the underlying). The 31-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated TOST expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on TOST should anchor to the underlying notional of $27.73 per share and to the trader's directional view on TOST stock.

TOST butterfly setup

The TOST butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With TOST near $27.73, the first option leg uses a $26.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed TOST chain at a 31-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 TOST shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

ActionTypeStrike / BasisPremium (est)
Buy 1Call$26.00$2.69
Sell 2Call$28.00$1.54
Buy 1Call$29.00$1.12

TOST butterfly risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit
-$72.50
Max Profit (per contract)
$114.93
Max Loss (per contract)
-$72.50
Breakeven(s)
$26.73
Risk / Reward Ratio
1.585

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.

TOST butterfly payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on TOST. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

TOST butterfly profit and loss curve at expiration with breakevens and current spot markedTOST butterfly payoff at expiration-$50$0$50$100$10$20$30$40$50Underlying Price ($)P&L at Expiration ($)BE $26.73Spot $27.73
P&L at expiration across the modeled underlying-price range. Green shading marks profitable regions, red shading marks loss regions. Dotted purple verticals mark breakevens; the solid dark vertical marks current spot.
Underlying Price% From SpotP&L at Expiration
$0.01-100.0%-$72.50
$6.14-77.9%-$72.50
$12.27-55.8%-$72.50
$18.40-33.6%-$72.50
$24.53-11.5%-$72.50
$30.66+10.6%+$27.50
$36.79+32.7%+$27.50
$42.92+54.8%+$27.50
$49.05+76.9%+$27.50
$55.18+99.0%+$27.50

When traders use butterfly on TOST

Butterflies on TOST are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect TOST to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.

TOST thesis for this butterfly

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for TOST extends from approximately $23.80 on the downside to $31.66 on the upside. A TOST long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if TOST settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current TOST IV rank near 51.40% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on TOST should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Technology name, TOST options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to TOST-specific events.

TOST butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. TOST positions also carry Technology sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move TOST alongside the broader basket even when TOST-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current TOST chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a butterfly on TOST?
A butterfly on TOST is the butterfly strategy applied to TOST (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With TOST stock trading near $27.73, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed TOST chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
How are TOST butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the TOST butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 49.45%), the computed maximum profit is $114.93 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$72.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a TOST butterfly?
The breakeven for the TOST butterfly priced on this page is roughly $26.73 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current TOST market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 14.18%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a butterfly on TOST?
Butterflies on TOST are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect TOST to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
How does current TOST implied volatility affect this butterfly?
TOST ATM IV is at 49.45% with IV rank near 51.40%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.

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