TOPW Butterfly Strategy
TOPW (Roundhill Investments - Top WeeklyPay ETF), in the Consumer Cyclical sector, (Luxury Goods industry), listed on CBOE.
Top Win International Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in trading, distribution, and retail of luxury watches in Hong Kong. The company trades in leather goods, and accessories. It serves business-to-business (B2B) customers including distributors, independent watch dealers, and retail sellers. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Top Win International Limited operates as a subsidiary of Pride River Limited.
TOPW (Roundhill Investments - Top WeeklyPay ETF) trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically Luxury Goods, with a market capitalization of approximately $982.0M, a beta of 1.68 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 31.88-56.5, average daily share volume of 83K, a public-listing history dating back to 2025, approximately 7 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how TOPW stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.68 indicates TOPW has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position. TOPW pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on TOPW?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current TOPW snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $39.49, ATM IV 9.80%, expected move 2.81%. The butterfly on TOPW below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on TOPW specifically: IV rank is unavailable in the current snapshot, so regime-based timing for TOPW is inferred from ATM IV at 9.80% alone, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 2.81% (roughly $1.11 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated TOPW expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on TOPW should anchor to the underlying notional of $39.49 per share and to the trader's directional view on TOPW stock.
TOPW butterfly setup
The TOPW butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With TOPW near $39.49, the first option leg uses a $37.52 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed TOPW chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 TOPW shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $37.52 | N/A |
| Sell 2 | Call | $39.49 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $41.46 | N/A |
TOPW butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
TOPW butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on TOPW. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use butterfly on TOPW
Butterflies on TOPW are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect TOPW to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
TOPW thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for TOPW extends from approximately $38.38 on the downside to $40.60 on the upside. A TOPW long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if TOPW settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. As a Consumer Cyclical name, TOPW options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to TOPW-specific events.
TOPW butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. TOPW positions also carry Consumer Cyclical sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move TOPW alongside the broader basket even when TOPW-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current TOPW chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on TOPW?
- A butterfly on TOPW is the butterfly strategy applied to TOPW (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With TOPW stock trading near $39.49, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed TOPW chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are TOPW butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the TOPW butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 9.80%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a TOPW butterfly?
- The breakeven for the TOPW butterfly priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current TOPW market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 2.81%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on TOPW?
- Butterflies on TOPW are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect TOPW to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current TOPW implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- Current TOPW ATM IV is 9.80%; IV rank context is unavailable in the current snapshot.