The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) Max Pain Analysis

Max pain is the strike price where aggregate option buyer payout is minimized at expiration. It represents the price at which option writers retain the most premium.

The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, with a market capitalization near $6.62B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 4,900 people, carrying a beta of 0.32 to the broader market. The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. Led by John Conner Roche, public since 1995-10-11.

Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.

Spot Price
$194.88
Max Pain Strike
$190.00
Total OI
1.4K

As of May 15, 2026, The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) max pain sits at $190.00, which is below the current spot price of $194.88 (2.5% away). Spot sits 2.5% below max pain - close enough that a routine end-of-cycle gamma roll could pull price toward the level, but far enough that catalyst-driven flow would dominate. THG trades in the standard mid-price band (spot $194.88), with listed strikes typically $1-$5 apart and balanced single-leg vs multi-leg flow. Total open interest across the listed chain is comparatively thin (1.4K contracts), so single-strike pinning is less reliable than it is for high-OI names. THG is currently in positive dealer gamma ($98.0K), the regime that mechanically reinforces pinning by inducing dealers to buy weakness and sell strength near heavy-OI strikes. Max pain identifies the strike at which the aggregate dollar value of all outstanding options contracts would expire with the least total intrinsic value, a gravitational reference rather than a price target.

THG Strategy Implications at the Current Max Pain Level

With spot 2.5% from the $190.00 max-pain level and The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. in a positive-gamma regime, where dealer hedging mechanically pulls spot toward heavy-OI strikes, strategy selection turns on cycle position and dealer positioning. Iron condors and credit spreads centered near the max-pain strike capture the typical end-of-cycle convergence when the regime supports pinning; ratio backspreads or directional debit structures fit names where catalyst flow is likely to overwhelm the hedging-driven pull. The gamma-exposure page shows the per-strike dealer book that determines whether hedging will reinforce or fight the pin.

Learn how max pain is reported and how to read the data →

Frequently asked THG max pain analysis questions

What is the current THG max pain strike?
As of May 15, 2026, The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) max pain sits at $190.00, which is 2.5% below the current spot price of $194.88. Max pain identifies the strike at which aggregate option-buyer payouts at expiration are minimized; it is a gravitational reference, not a price target. A 2.5% gap is close enough that a routine end-of-cycle gamma roll could pull spot toward the level, but far enough that catalyst-driven flow typically dominates.
Does THG pin to its max pain strike at expiration?
THG is currently in positive dealer gamma, the regime that mechanically reinforces pinning. Dealers hedging long-gamma books buy weakness and sell strength near high-OI strikes, which pulls spot toward those levels into expiration. Total open interest across THG (1.4K contracts) is one input to how plausible a clean pin is - heavier total OI concentrated at fewer strikes raises the probability; thin OI spread across many strikes lowers it. Pinning is strongest in heavily-traded names with large open-interest concentrations at high-OI strikes during the final week of an OPEX cycle. Whether THG actually pins on a given expiration depends on the OI distribution, the dealer-gamma sign, and the absence of catalyst-driven moves that overwhelm hedging-driven flow.
How is THG max pain calculated?
Max pain is computed by summing the dollar value of all in-the-money options at each candidate settlement strike across listed expirations, then selecting the strike that minimizes total intrinsic-value payout to option buyers. The calculation uses the full open-interest distribution and weighs both calls and puts. THG put/call OI ratio is 1.69 - put-heavy, which biases the max-pain calculation toward strikes below current spot when the put OI concentrates there.