StoneCo Ltd. (STNE) Max Pain Analysis
Max pain is the strike price where aggregate option buyer payout is minimized at expiration. It represents the price at which option writers retain the most premium.
StoneCo Ltd. (STNE) operates in the Technology sector, specifically the Software - Infrastructure industry, with a market capitalization near $2.59B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 7,239 people, carrying a beta of 1.60 to the broader market. StoneCo Ltd. Led by Mateus Scherer Schwening, public since 2018-10-25.
Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $9.61
- Max Pain Strike
- $14.47
- Total OI
- 200.8K
As of May 15, 2026, StoneCo Ltd. (STNE) max pain sits at $14.47, which is above the current spot price of $9.61 (50.6% away). Spot sits 50.6% above max pain - the gap is wide enough that the pinning effect alone is unlikely to close it; expect catalyst flow, positioning unwinds, or rebalancing to drive the actual price path before any expiration pull. STNE is a low-priced underlying (spot $9.61), where $0.50 or finer strike spacing increases the number of viable pin candidates and dampens the dominant-strike effect. Total open interest across the listed chain (200.8K contracts) is healthy but not dominant; pinning effects can show but are not guaranteed. STNE is currently in negative dealer gamma (-$623.4K), a regime that amplifies directional moves rather than damping them, weakening the pin-toward-max-pain bias. Max pain identifies the strike at which the aggregate dollar value of all outstanding options contracts would expire with the least total intrinsic value, a gravitational reference rather than a price target.
STNE Strategy Implications at the Current Max Pain Level
With spot 50.6% from the $14.47 max-pain level and StoneCo Ltd. in a negative-gamma regime, where dealer hedging amplifies directional moves and weakens any pin, strategy selection turns on cycle position and dealer positioning. Iron condors and credit spreads centered near the max-pain strike capture the typical end-of-cycle convergence when the regime supports pinning; ratio backspreads or directional debit structures fit names where catalyst flow is likely to overwhelm the hedging-driven pull. The gamma-exposure page shows the per-strike dealer book that determines whether hedging will reinforce or fight the pin.
Learn how max pain is reported and how to read the data →
Frequently asked STNE max pain analysis questions
- What is the current STNE max pain strike?
- As of May 15, 2026, StoneCo Ltd. (STNE) max pain sits at $14.47, which is 50.6% above the current spot price of $9.61. Max pain identifies the strike at which aggregate option-buyer payouts at expiration are minimized; it is a gravitational reference, not a price target. A 50.6% gap is wide enough that the pinning effect alone is unlikely to close it; expect catalyst flow, positioning unwinds, or rebalancing to drive the price path before any expiration pull.
- Does STNE pin to its max pain strike at expiration?
- STNE is currently in negative dealer gamma, a regime that amplifies directional moves rather than damping them. The pin-toward-max-pain bias weakens here because dealer hedging adds momentum rather than mean reversion. Total open interest across STNE (200.8K contracts) is one input to how plausible a clean pin is - heavier total OI concentrated at fewer strikes raises the probability; thin OI spread across many strikes lowers it. Pinning is strongest in heavily-traded names with large open-interest concentrations at high-OI strikes during the final week of an OPEX cycle. Whether STNE actually pins on a given expiration depends on the OI distribution, the dealer-gamma sign, and the absence of catalyst-driven moves that overwhelm hedging-driven flow.
- How is STNE max pain calculated?
- Max pain is computed by summing the dollar value of all in-the-money options at each candidate settlement strike across listed expirations, then selecting the strike that minimizes total intrinsic-value payout to option buyers. The calculation uses the full open-interest distribution and weighs both calls and puts. STNE put/call OI ratio is 1.15 - balanced, so the max-pain calculation reflects the strike where the call and put OI distributions cross rather than a single dominant side.