How are SPCX butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the SPCX butterfly priced from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 63.13%), the computed maximum profit is $586.85 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$82.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.

What is the breakeven for a SPCX butterfly?

The breakeven for the SPCX butterfly priced on this page is roughly $133.83 and $146.25 at expiration, derived from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain's premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The SPCX market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move in the same options snapshot is approximately 18.10%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.

How does current SPCX implied volatility affect this butterfly?

Current SPCX ATM IV is 63.13%; IV rank context is unavailable in the current snapshot.

SPCX Butterfly Strategy

SPCX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.), in the Industrials sector, (Aerospace & Defense industry), listed on NASDAQ.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. designs, manufactures, and launches rockets and spacecraft, and provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, and Canada. The company offers launch services for satellites, cargo, and crew to destinations such as low Earth orbit, the International Space Station, the Moon, and Mars, using vehicles, including Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, and Starship. It provides dedicated rideshare missions for small satellites, manufactures reusable rockets and spacecraft, such as Dragon and Starship, and conducts suborbital and orbital flight tests. The company supplies broadband internet connectivity through the Starlink satellite network for consumer and commercial use, and offers Starshield, a satellite-based solution for government users focused on sensing, communications, and satellite bus services. It supports scientific research opportunities and provides on-orbit research and travel services for private and government customers, and collaborates with government agencies for national security space launch missions. The company serves government agencies, national security organizations, commercial satellite operators, research institutions, and private spaceflight clients, supporting scientific research and commercial payload missions for professional and industrial clients in the aerospace and telecommunications sectors.

SPCX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) trades in the Industrials sector, specifically Aerospace & Defense, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.91T, a beta of 0.00 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 104.83-225.64, average daily share volume of 124.1M, a public-listing history dating back to 2026, approximately 22K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how SPCX stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 0.00 indicates SPCX has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure.

What is a butterfly on SPCX?

A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.

SPCX snapshot

As of August 14, 2026, spot at $139.60, ATM IV 63.13%, expected move 18.10%. The butterfly on SPCX below is built from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 28-day expiry.

Why this butterfly structure on SPCX specifically: IV rank is unavailable in the current snapshot, so regime-based timing for SPCX is inferred from ATM IV at 63.13% alone, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 18.10% (roughly $25.27 on the underlying). The 28-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated SPCX expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on SPCX should anchor to the underlying notional of $139.60 per share and to the trader's directional view on SPCX stock.

SPCX butterfly setup

The SPCX butterfly below is built from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With SPCX at $139.60 on that close, the first option leg uses a $133.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed SPCX chain at a 28-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 SPCX shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

Action	Type	Strike / Basis	Premium (est)
Buy 1	Call	$133.00	$13.30
Sell 2	Call	$140.00	$9.68
Buy 1	Call	$147.00	$6.88

SPCX butterfly risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit: -$82.50
Max Profit (per contract): $586.85
Max Loss (per contract): -$82.50
Breakeven(s): $133.83, $146.25
Risk / Reward Ratio: 7.113

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.

SPCX butterfly payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on SPCX. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

P&L at expiration across the modeled underlying-price range. Green shading marks profitable regions, red shading marks loss regions. Dotted purple verticals mark breakevens; the solid dark vertical marks current spot.

Underlying Price	% From Spot	P&L at Expiration
$0.01	-100.0%	-$82.50
$30.88	-77.9%	-$82.50
$61.74	-55.8%	-$82.50
$92.61	-33.7%	-$82.50
$123.47	-11.6%	-$82.50
$154.34	+10.6%	-$82.50
$185.20	+32.7%	-$82.50
$216.07	+54.8%	-$82.50
$246.93	+76.9%	-$82.50
$277.80	+99.0%	-$82.50

When traders use butterfly on SPCX

Butterflies on SPCX are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect SPCX to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.

SPCX thesis for this butterfly

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for SPCX extends from approximately $114.33 on the downside to $164.87 on the upside. A SPCX long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if SPCX settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. As a Industrials name, SPCX options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to SPCX-specific events.

SPCX butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. SPCX positions also carry Industrials sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move SPCX alongside the broader basket even when SPCX-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current SPCX chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a butterfly on SPCX?: A butterfly on SPCX is the butterfly strategy applied to SPCX (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With SPCX stock at $139.60 on the August 14, 2026 close, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed SPCX chain strike and the premiums come straight from that session's bid/ask midpoint.
How are SPCX butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?: Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the SPCX butterfly priced from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 63.13%), the computed maximum profit is $586.85 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$82.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a SPCX butterfly?: The breakeven for the SPCX butterfly priced on this page is roughly $133.83 and $146.25 at expiration, derived from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain's premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The SPCX market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move in the same options snapshot is approximately 18.10%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a butterfly on SPCX?: Butterflies on SPCX are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect SPCX to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
How does current SPCX implied volatility affect this butterfly?: Current SPCX ATM IV is 63.13%; IV rank context is unavailable in the current snapshot.