How are SMCI butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the SMCI butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 87.74%), the computed maximum profit is $132.74 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$15.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.

What is the breakeven for a SMCI butterfly?

The breakeven for the SMCI butterfly priced on this page is roughly $28.15 and $30.85 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current SMCI market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 25.15%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.

How does current SMCI implied volatility affect this butterfly?

SMCI ATM IV is at 87.74% with IV rank near 71.00%, which is elevated relative to its 1-year range. Premium-selling structures (covered call, cash-secured put, iron condor) generally look more attractive when IV rank is high; premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are more expensive in that regime.

SMCI Butterfly Strategy

SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.), in the Technology sector, (Computer Hardware industry), listed on NASDAQ.

Super Micro Computer, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells server and storage solutions based on modular and open-standard architecture in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company provides liquid and air-cooled AI servers for training and inferencing with integrated graphics processing units (GPUs) or PCIe based architectures; SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, GrandTwin, and BigTwin blade and multi-node systems; SuperStorage systems; Hyper, CloudDC, and WIO and rackmount systems; embedded (5G/IoT/Edge) systems; and MicroCloud server systems. It also offers workstations and networking devices; and modular server subsystems and accessories, including server boards, chassis, power supplies, and other accessories. In addition, the company provides remote system management solutions, such as Server Management suite comprising Supermicro Server Manager, Supermicro Power Management software, Supermicro Update Manager, SuperCloud Composer, and SuperDoctor 5. Further, the company identifies service requirements; creates and executes project plans; conducts verification testing; offers training; and provides technical documentation. Additionally, it offers rack level services from design to deployment for full rack and cluster level deployments of AI and HPC datacenters; help desk services and on-site product support; and warranties, maintenance, and technical support services.

SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.) trades in the Technology sector, specifically Computer Hardware, with a market capitalization of approximately $19.81B, a trailing P/E of 14.68, a beta of 1.87 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 19.48-62.36, average daily share volume of 48.9M, a public-listing history dating back to 2007, approximately 6K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how SMCI stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 1.87 indicates SMCI has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position.

What is a butterfly on SMCI?

A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.

Current SMCI snapshot

As of June 30, 2026, spot at $29.37, ATM IV 87.74%, IV rank 71.00%, expected move 25.15%. The butterfly on SMCI below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 31-day expiry.

Why this butterfly structure on SMCI specifically: SMCI IV at 87.74% is rich versus its 1-year range, which makes a premium-buying SMCI butterfly relatively expensive in absolute-cost terms, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 25.15% (roughly $7.39 on the underlying). The 31-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated SMCI expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on SMCI should anchor to the underlying notional of $29.37 per share and to the trader's directional view on SMCI stock.

SMCI butterfly setup

The SMCI butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With SMCI near $29.37, the first option leg uses a $28.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed SMCI chain at a 31-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 SMCI shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

Action	Type	Strike / Basis	Premium (est)
Buy 1	Call	$28.00	$3.70
Sell 2	Call	$29.50	$2.97
Buy 1	Call	$31.00	$2.38

SMCI butterfly risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit: -$15.00
Max Profit (per contract): $132.74
Max Loss (per contract): -$15.00
Breakeven(s): $28.15, $30.85
Risk / Reward Ratio: 8.850

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.

SMCI butterfly payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on SMCI. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

P&L at expiration across the modeled underlying-price range. Green shading marks profitable regions, red shading marks loss regions. Dotted purple verticals mark breakevens; the solid dark vertical marks current spot.

Underlying Price	% From Spot	P&L at Expiration
$0.01	-100.0%	-$15.00
$6.50	-77.9%	-$15.00
$13.00	-55.8%	-$15.00
$19.49	-33.6%	-$15.00
$25.98	-11.5%	-$15.00
$32.47	+10.6%	-$15.00
$38.97	+32.7%	-$15.00
$45.46	+54.8%	-$15.00
$51.95	+76.9%	-$15.00
$58.44	+99.0%	-$15.00

When traders use butterfly on SMCI

Butterflies on SMCI are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect SMCI to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.

SMCI thesis for this butterfly

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for SMCI extends from approximately $21.98 on the downside to $36.76 on the upside. A SMCI long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if SMCI settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current SMCI IV rank near 71.00% sits in the upper third of its 1-year distribution, which historically reverts; this raises the bar for premium-buying structures and lowers it for premium-selling structures on SMCI at 87.74%. As a Technology name, SMCI options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to SMCI-specific events.

SMCI butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. SMCI positions also carry Technology sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move SMCI alongside the broader basket even when SMCI-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current SMCI chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a butterfly on SMCI?: A butterfly on SMCI is the butterfly strategy applied to SMCI (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With SMCI stock trading near $29.37, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed SMCI chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
How are SMCI butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?: Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the SMCI butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 87.74%), the computed maximum profit is $132.74 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$15.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a SMCI butterfly?: The breakeven for the SMCI butterfly priced on this page is roughly $28.15 and $30.85 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current SMCI market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 25.15%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a butterfly on SMCI?: Butterflies on SMCI are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect SMCI to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
How does current SMCI implied volatility affect this butterfly?: SMCI ATM IV is at 87.74% with IV rank near 71.00%, which is elevated relative to its 1-year range. Premium-selling structures (covered call, cash-secured put, iron condor) generally look more attractive when IV rank is high; premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are more expensive in that regime.