RIO Analyst Ratings
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) operates in the Basic Materials sector, specifically the Industrial Materials industry, with a market capitalization near $151.22B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 56,890 people, carrying a beta of 0.66 to the broader market. Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. Led by Simon Callas Trott, public since 1990-06-28.
Analyst Ratings
In the October 2026 monthly count, 11 analysts rated RIO: 1 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 4 Hold, 1 Sell and 1 Strong Sell.
Twelve months earlier, in October 2025: 8 analysts, 2 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 2 Hold, 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell.
Price Targets
- Average Target
- $103.13
- Median Target
- $101.50
- High
- $120.00
- Low
- $89.50
- Targets Published, Last 12 Months
- 7
Recent Price Targets
The 5 most recent of 7 price targets published in the last 12 months.
| Date | Firm | Analyst | Target | Price When Posted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bernstein | Not named | $89.50 | $103.83 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Not named | $90.00 | $105.30 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Berenberg Bank | Richard Hatch | $113.00 | $93.66 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Argus Research | Not named | $120.00 | $99.51 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bernstein | Not named | $83.50 | $99.61 |
Recent Upgrades & Downgrades
| Date | Firm | Action | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bernstein | maintain | Outperform | Outperform |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | downgrade | Overweight | Underweight |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bernstein | maintain | Outperform | Outperform |
| Mar 9, 2026 | JP Morgan | downgrade | Overweight | Neutral |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Bernstein | maintain | Outperform | Outperform |
Quantitative Rating
RIO carries a model grade of A- (overall score 4 of 5), computed from six valuation and financial measures (discounted cash flow, return on equity, return on assets, debt to equity, price to earnings and price to book), each scored 1 to 5. It is not an analyst rating.
How to Read RIO Analyst Coverage
Sell-side equity analysts publish three primary outputs: ratings (Strong Buy / Buy / Hold / Sell / Strong Sell, or firm-specific equivalents), price targets, and EPS / revenue estimate revisions. Rating consensus moves slowly relative to price; it reflects 12-month directional conviction rather than near-term momentum. Price targets are more responsive but typically drift behind realized price during sharp moves. The most actionable signal for options traders is a cluster of ratings actions across multiple firms within a short window, which compresses or expands implied volatility on a horizon of days to weeks and shifts the put-call skew toward the directional consensus. The recent-actions table above shows the five most recent firm-level changes; longer histories live behind aggregator sources.
For event-driven options sizing, pair the consensus rating and target distribution with the implied-volatility surface and dealer-positioning view. Aggressive target hikes from multiple firms tend to tighten put skew (downside protection becomes relatively cheaper); aggressive cuts widen put skew. The size of the IV response in the hours after a rating change is visible on the per-ticker volatility skew page and the gamma-exposure page, both of which show how dealer hedging propagates the analyst-driven flow into the listed options chain.
Learn how analyst ratings is reported and how to read the data →
Frequently asked RIO analyst ratings questions
- What is the RIO consensus price target?
- As of the latest aggregator update, Rio Tinto Group (RIO) carries a consensus 12-month price target of $103.13. Target ranges run from a low of $89.50 to a high of $120.00. The target is the average of the price targets published by sell-side equity analysts covering the name.
- What is the analyst rating consensus on RIO?
- In the October 2026 monthly count, 11 analysts rated RIO, and the distribution is mixed across rating levels: 1 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 4 Hold, 1 Sell and 1 Strong Sell. Rating consensus moves slowly relative to price; it reflects sell-side conviction over a 12-month horizon rather than near-term momentum.
- What recent ratings actions has RIO seen?
- The five most recent ratings actions on RIO appear on the page above. Sell-side rating changes are watched for two reasons: an upgrade or downgrade with a meaningful target revision moves the consensus and can trigger short-term positioning shifts, and the firm-level rating cluster (multiple firms moving in the same direction within a short window) is a clearer signal than any single action. Options markets often price the implied-vol response within minutes of the announcement.
- How do analyst targets affect RIO options pricing?
- Analyst target revisions tend to be priced in by the lit options market within minutes of publication, but persistent target drift over weeks does correlate with implied-volatility movement. Aggressive target hikes from multiple firms inside a single quarter tighten put skew (downside protection becomes cheaper relative to upside speculation); aggressive cuts widen put skew. The most actionable read is the implied-vol response in the hours after a target change, which is visible on the per-ticker volatility skew page.