Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) operates in the Communication Services sector, specifically the Entertainment industry, with a market capitalization near $10.33B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 17,600 people, carrying a beta of 1.47 to the broader market. Paramount Skydance Corporation functions as a worldwide leader in media, streaming, and entertainment. Led by David Ellison, public since 2005-12-05.
Snapshot as of Aug 14, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $10.20
- Expected Move
- 13.3%
- Implied High
- $11.56
- Implied Low
- $8.84
- Front DTE
- 28 days
As of Aug 14, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) has an expected move of 13.33%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $8.84 to $11.56 from the current $10.20. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
PSKY Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock pricing an expected move of 13.33% from $10.20, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
How to read the PSKY implied-range chart
The shaded range above shows the one-standard-deviation implied price band at each listed expiration, derived from ATM implied volatility scaled to days-to-expiration. The front-tenor expected move is 13.33%, anchoring an implied range of approximately $8.84 to $11.56. Under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside that band; 95% fall inside ±2σ; 99.7% inside ±3σ. The empirical equity-return distribution has fatter tails than lognormal, so true tail-outcome frequency is moderately higher than these closed-form numbers suggest.
PSKY expected move and event pricing
Expected move widens with √time: a 5% 30-day move corresponds to roughly a 2.5% 7.5-day move and a 10% 120-day move. PSKY term-structure is in contango (slope 0.032), so longer-dated tenors price in proportionally more vol than √time scaling alone would suggest - typically because long-dated cycles include uncertain macro states. With IV rank at 5.5%, the implied move is at the low end of the typical PSKY range - cheap optionality for buyers, thin premium for sellers.
Sizing PSKY structures to the expected move
Iron condors with wings at ±1σ collect the modal-outcome premium; ±1.5σ widens probability of inside-range to ~87% but cuts collected premium roughly in half. Strangles do the inverse trade - they pay against the same lognormal distribution, profiting when realized exceeds implied. Calendar spreads bet on the slope of the term structure rather than the level. PSKY put/call volume ratio currently at 0.26 indicates speculative call flow dominates - look for upside-skewed sentiment. The expected move is the inputs the chain is pricing, not a forecast - realized moves above or below are normal under any distribution.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for PSKY derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $10.20 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 7 | 43.2% | 6.0% | $10.81 | $9.59 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 14 | 45.5% | 8.9% | $11.11 | $9.29 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 21 | 48.6% | 11.7% | $11.39 | $9.01 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 28 | 45.4% | 12.6% | $11.48 | $8.92 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 35 | 48.6% | 15.0% | $11.74 | $8.66 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 42 | 49.9% | 16.9% | $11.93 | $8.47 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 49 | 54.4% | 19.9% | $12.23 | $8.17 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 63 | 50.2% | 20.9% | $12.33 | $8.07 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 126 | 54.0% | 31.7% | $13.44 | $6.96 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 154 | 54.1% | 35.1% | $13.78 | $6.62 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 217 | 55.2% | 42.6% | $14.54 | $5.86 |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 307 | 56.7% | 52.0% | $15.50 | $4.90 |
| Sep 17, 2027 | 399 | 56.5% | 59.1% | $16.23 | $4.17 |
| Dec 17, 2027 | 490 | 54.7% | 63.4% | $16.66 | $3.74 |
| Jan 21, 2028 | 525 | 54.9% | 65.8% | $16.92 | $3.48 |
PSKY highest implied-volatility contracts
| Type | Strike | Expiration | Volume | OI | IV | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CALL | $13.00 | Oct 16, 2026 | 6.6K | 161 | 56.3% | $0.20 | $0.24 |
| PUT | $10.00 | Jan 21, 2028 | 3 | 127.0K | 54.9% | $2.20 | $2.35 |
| PUT | $8.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 3 | 72.9K | 54.1% | $0.39 | $0.50 |
| PUT | $10.00 | Dec 17, 2027 | 4.0K | 274 | 54.7% | $2.17 | $2.26 |
| CALL | $10.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 115 | 60.9K | 54.1% | $1.46 | $1.58 |
| PUT | $12.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 0 | 58.3K | 54.4% | $2.39 | $2.62 |
| CALL | $17.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 0 | 57.9K | 59.4% | $0.13 | $0.24 |
Top 7 contracts from the institutional-grade nightly options scan; ranked by iv within the broader S&P 500/400/600 + ETF universe.
Frequently asked PSKY expected move questions
- What is the current PSKY expected move?
- As of Aug 14, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) has an expected move of 13.33% over the next 28 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $8.84 to $11.56 from the current $10.20. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the PSKY expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is PSKY expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.