Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) operates in the Communication Services sector, specifically the Entertainment industry, with a market capitalization near $11.24B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 17,600 people, carrying a beta of 1.52 to the broader market. Paramount Skydance Corporation functions as a worldwide leader in media, streaming, and entertainment. Led by David Ellison, public since 2005-12-05.
Snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $10.30
- Expected Move
- 19.4%
- Implied High
- $12.30
- Implied Low
- $8.30
- Front DTE
- 30 days
As of Sep 30, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) has an expected move of 19.44%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $8.30 to $12.30 from the current $10.30. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
PSKY Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock pricing an expected move of 19.44% from $10.30, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
How to read the PSKY implied-range chart
The shaded range above shows the one-standard-deviation implied price band at each listed expiration, derived from ATM implied volatility scaled to days-to-expiration. The front-tenor expected move is 19.44%, anchoring an implied range of approximately $8.30 to $12.30. Under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside that band; 95% fall inside ±2σ; 99.7% inside ±3σ. The empirical equity-return distribution has fatter tails than lognormal, so true tail-outcome frequency is moderately higher than these closed-form numbers suggest.
PSKY expected move and event pricing
Expected move widens with √time: a 5% 30-day move corresponds to roughly a 2.5% 7.5-day move and a 10% 120-day move. PSKY term-structure is in backwardation (slope -0.155), so near-dated tenors price in disproportionate vol - usually because of a known event in the front-month window.
Sizing PSKY structures to the expected move
Iron condors with wings at ±1σ collect the modal-outcome premium; ±1.5σ widens probability of inside-range to ~87% but cuts collected premium roughly in half. Strangles do the inverse trade - they pay against the same lognormal distribution, profiting when realized exceeds implied. Calendar spreads bet on the slope of the term structure rather than the level. PSKY put/call volume ratio currently at 0.86 indicates balanced flow without strong directional skew. The expected move is the inputs the chain is pricing, not a forecast - realized moves above or below are normal under any distribution.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for PSKY derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $10.30 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | 2 | 68.2% | 5.0% | $10.82 | $9.78 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | 9 | 61.5% | 9.7% | $11.29 | $9.31 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 16 | 59.3% | 12.4% | $11.58 | $9.02 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 23 | 87.2% | 21.9% | $12.55 | $8.05 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 30 | 67.8% | 19.4% | $12.30 | $8.30 |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 37 | 52.3% | 16.7% | $12.02 | $8.58 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 51 | 60.2% | 22.5% | $12.62 | $7.98 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 79 | 59.3% | 27.6% | $13.14 | $7.46 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 107 | 56.8% | 30.8% | $13.47 | $7.13 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 170 | 55.7% | 38.0% | $14.22 | $6.38 |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 260 | 58.5% | 49.4% | $15.39 | $5.21 |
| Sep 17, 2027 | 352 | 55.6% | 54.6% | $15.92 | $4.68 |
| Dec 17, 2027 | 443 | 53.1% | 58.5% | $16.33 | $4.27 |
| Jan 21, 2028 | 478 | 54.5% | 62.4% | $16.72 | $3.88 |
| Jan 19, 2029 | 842 | 52.5% | 79.7% | $18.51 | $2.09 |
PSKY highest implied-volatility contracts
| Type | Strike | Expiration | Volume | OI | IV | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUT | $10.00 | Jan 21, 2028 | 0 | 129.6K | 54.5% | $2.00 | $2.25 |
| CALL | $12.00 | Dec 18, 2026 | 1.1K | 94.5K | 59.0% | $0.45 | $0.58 |
| CALL | $12.00 | Mar 19, 2027 | 19.2K | 32.6K | 57.6% | $0.82 | $1.15 |
| PUT | $12.00 | Mar 19, 2027 | 19.1K | 30.7K | 57.6% | $2.52 | $2.82 |
| PUT | $8.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 12 | 72.8K | 56.6% | $0.23 | $0.40 |
| PUT | $12.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 1.4K | 58.3K | 55.2% | $2.17 | $2.45 |
| CALL | $17.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 0 | 57.9K | 62.9% | $0.11 | $0.19 |
| CALL | $11.00 | Dec 18, 2026 | 2.5K | 57.6K | 58.6% | $0.83 | $0.94 |
| CALL | $10.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 62 | 54.3K | 56.8% | $1.26 | $1.65 |
Top 9 contracts from the institutional-grade nightly options scan; ranked by iv within the broader S&P 500/400/600 + ETF universe.
Frequently asked PSKY expected move questions
- What is the current PSKY expected move?
- As of Sep 30, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) has an expected move of 19.44% over the next 30 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $8.30 to $12.30 from the current $10.30. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the PSKY expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is PSKY expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.