Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) operates in the Communication Services sector, specifically the Entertainment industry, with a market capitalization near $10.49B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 18,600 people, carrying a beta of 1.44 to the broader market. Paramount Skydance Corporation functions as a worldwide leader in media, streaming, and entertainment. Led by David Ellison, public since 2005-12-05.
Snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $9.88
- Expected Move
- 15.7%
- Implied High
- $11.43
- Implied Low
- $8.33
- Front DTE
- 31 days
As of Jun 30, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) has an expected move of 15.70%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $8.33 to $11.43 from the current $9.88. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
PSKY Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock pricing an expected move of 15.70% from $9.88, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
How to read the PSKY implied-range chart
The shaded range above shows the one-standard-deviation implied price band at each listed expiration, derived from ATM implied volatility scaled to days-to-expiration. The front-tenor expected move is 15.70%, anchoring an implied range of approximately $8.33 to $11.43. Under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside that band; 95% fall inside ±2σ; 99.7% inside ±3σ. The empirical equity-return distribution has fatter tails than lognormal, so true tail-outcome frequency is moderately higher than these closed-form numbers suggest.
PSKY expected move and event pricing
Expected move widens with √time: a 5% 30-day move corresponds to roughly a 2.5% 7.5-day move and a 10% 120-day move. PSKY term-structure is in contango (slope 0.018), so longer-dated tenors price in proportionally more vol than √time scaling alone would suggest - typically because long-dated cycles include uncertain macro states. With IV rank at 14.7%, the implied move is at the low end of the typical PSKY range - cheap optionality for buyers, thin premium for sellers.
Sizing PSKY structures to the expected move
Iron condors with wings at ±1σ collect the modal-outcome premium; ±1.5σ widens probability of inside-range to ~87% but cuts collected premium roughly in half. Strangles do the inverse trade - they pay against the same lognormal distribution, profiting when realized exceeds implied. Calendar spreads bet on the slope of the term structure rather than the level. PSKY put/call volume ratio currently at 1.21 indicates protective put flow dominates - look for hedged-money positioning into the move. The expected move is the inputs the chain is pricing, not a forecast - realized moves above or below are normal under any distribution.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for PSKY derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $9.88 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | 2 | 58.8% | 4.4% | $10.31 | $9.45 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 10 | 50.7% | 8.4% | $10.71 | $9.05 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 17 | 51.6% | 11.1% | $10.98 | $8.78 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 24 | 51.2% | 13.1% | $11.18 | $8.58 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 31 | 55.2% | 16.1% | $11.47 | $8.29 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 38 | 57.0% | 18.4% | $11.70 | $8.06 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 52 | 57.4% | 21.7% | $12.02 | $7.74 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 80 | 56.6% | 26.5% | $12.50 | $7.26 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 171 | 58.5% | 40.0% | $13.84 | $5.92 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 199 | 57.0% | 42.1% | $14.04 | $5.72 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 262 | 56.8% | 48.1% | $14.63 | $5.13 |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 352 | 56.7% | 55.7% | $15.38 | $4.38 |
| Sep 17, 2027 | 444 | 56.0% | 61.8% | $15.98 | $3.78 |
| Dec 17, 2027 | 535 | 55.7% | 67.4% | $16.54 | $3.22 |
| Jan 21, 2028 | 570 | 54.7% | 68.4% | $16.63 | $3.13 |
PSKY highest implied-volatility contracts
| Type | Strike | Expiration | Volume | OI | IV | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUT | $10.00 | Jan 21, 2028 | 0 | 125.8K | 54.7% | $1.85 | $2.56 |
| PUT | $8.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 3 | 71.2K | 58.3% | $0.65 | $0.78 |
| PUT | $12.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 0 | 58.3K | 56.5% | $2.78 | $3.10 |
| CALL | $17.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 20 | 58.0K | 60.7% | $0.30 | $0.37 |
| CALL | $10.00 | Jan 15, 2027 | 987 | 51.6K | 57.0% | $1.55 | $1.70 |
Top 5 contracts from the institutional-grade nightly options scan; ranked by iv within the broader S&P 500/400/600 + ETF universe.
Frequently asked PSKY expected move questions
- What is the current PSKY expected move?
- As of Jun 30, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) has an expected move of 15.70% over the next 31 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $8.33 to $11.43 from the current $9.88. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the PSKY expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is PSKY expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.