Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) Expected Move

Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.

Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) operates in the Communication Services sector, specifically the Entertainment industry, with a market capitalization near $11.24B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 17,600 people, carrying a beta of 1.52 to the broader market. Paramount Skydance Corporation functions as a worldwide leader in media, streaming, and entertainment. Led by David Ellison, public since 2005-12-05.

Snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026.

Spot Price
$10.30
Expected Move
19.4%
Implied High
$12.30
Implied Low
$8.30
Front DTE
30 days

As of Sep 30, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) has an expected move of 19.44%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $8.30 to $12.30 from the current $10.30. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.

PSKY Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move

With Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock pricing an expected move of 19.44% from $10.30, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.

How to read the PSKY implied-range chart

The shaded range above shows the one-standard-deviation implied price band at each listed expiration, derived from ATM implied volatility scaled to days-to-expiration. The front-tenor expected move is 19.44%, anchoring an implied range of approximately $8.30 to $12.30. Under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside that band; 95% fall inside ±2σ; 99.7% inside ±3σ. The empirical equity-return distribution has fatter tails than lognormal, so true tail-outcome frequency is moderately higher than these closed-form numbers suggest.

PSKY expected move and event pricing

Expected move widens with √time: a 5% 30-day move corresponds to roughly a 2.5% 7.5-day move and a 10% 120-day move. PSKY term-structure is in backwardation (slope -0.155), so near-dated tenors price in disproportionate vol - usually because of a known event in the front-month window.

Sizing PSKY structures to the expected move

Iron condors with wings at ±1σ collect the modal-outcome premium; ±1.5σ widens probability of inside-range to ~87% but cuts collected premium roughly in half. Strangles do the inverse trade - they pay against the same lognormal distribution, profiting when realized exceeds implied. Calendar spreads bet on the slope of the term structure rather than the level. PSKY put/call volume ratio currently at 0.86 indicates balanced flow without strong directional skew. The expected move is the inputs the chain is pricing, not a forecast - realized moves above or below are normal under any distribution.

Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →

PSKY one-standard-deviation implied price range by days-to-expiration, with current spot marked as the midpointPSKY Implied Price Range by Expiration$5$10$15100d200d300d400d500d600d700d800dDays to ExpirationImplied Price Range ($)
Shaded band shows the ±1σ implied price range (~68% probability under lognormal assumptions) at each expiration; the center line marks current spot. Bands widen with longer DTE since volatility scales with √time.

Per-expiration expected move for PSKY derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $10.30 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.

ExpirationDTEATM IVExpected MoveImplied HighImplied Low
Oct 2, 2026268.2%5.0%$10.82$9.78
Oct 9, 2026961.5%9.7%$11.29$9.31
Oct 16, 20261659.3%12.4%$11.58$9.02
Oct 23, 20262387.2%21.9%$12.55$8.05
Oct 30, 20263067.8%19.4%$12.30$8.30
Nov 6, 20263752.3%16.7%$12.02$8.58
Nov 20, 20265160.2%22.5%$12.62$7.98
Dec 18, 20267959.3%27.6%$13.14$7.46
Jan 15, 202710756.8%30.8%$13.47$7.13
Mar 19, 202717055.7%38.0%$14.22$6.38
Jun 17, 202726058.5%49.4%$15.39$5.21
Sep 17, 202735255.6%54.6%$15.92$4.68
Dec 17, 202744353.1%58.5%$16.33$4.27
Jan 21, 202847854.5%62.4%$16.72$3.88
Jan 19, 202984252.5%79.7%$18.51$2.09

PSKY highest implied-volatility contracts

TypeStrikeExpirationVolumeOIIVBidAsk
PUT$10.00Jan 21, 20280129.6K54.5%$2.00$2.25
CALL$12.00Dec 18, 20261.1K94.5K59.0%$0.45$0.58
CALL$12.00Mar 19, 202719.2K32.6K57.6%$0.82$1.15
PUT$12.00Mar 19, 202719.1K30.7K57.6%$2.52$2.82
PUT$8.00Jan 15, 20271272.8K56.6%$0.23$0.40
PUT$12.00Jan 15, 20271.4K58.3K55.2%$2.17$2.45
CALL$17.00Jan 15, 2027057.9K62.9%$0.11$0.19
CALL$11.00Dec 18, 20262.5K57.6K58.6%$0.83$0.94
CALL$10.00Jan 15, 20276254.3K56.8%$1.26$1.65

Top 9 contracts from the institutional-grade nightly options scan; ranked by iv within the broader S&P 500/400/600 + ETF universe.

Frequently asked PSKY expected move questions

What is the current PSKY expected move?
As of Sep 30, 2026, Paramount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock (PSKY) has an expected move of 19.44% over the next 30 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $8.30 to $12.30 from the current $10.30. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
What does the PSKY expected move mean for traders?
Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
How is PSKY expected move calculated?
The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.