PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) Max Pain Analysis

Max pain is the strike price where aggregate option buyer payout is minimized at expiration. It represents the price at which option writers retain the most premium.

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) operates in the Real Estate sector, specifically the REIT - Mortgage industry, with a market capitalization near $916.5M, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 7 people, carrying a beta of 1.18 to the broader market. PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust, a specialty finance company, primarily invests in mortgage-related assets in the United States. Led by David A. Spector, public since 2009-07-30.

Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.

Spot Price
$10.33
Max Pain Strike
$12.50
Total OI
40.0K

As of May 15, 2026, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) max pain sits at $12.50, which is above the current spot price of $10.33 (21.0% away). Spot sits 21.0% above max pain - the gap is wide enough that the pinning effect alone is unlikely to close it; expect catalyst flow, positioning unwinds, or rebalancing to drive the actual price path before any expiration pull. PMT is a low-priced underlying (spot $10.33), where $0.50 or finer strike spacing increases the number of viable pin candidates and dampens the dominant-strike effect. Total open interest across the listed chain is comparatively thin (40.0K contracts), so single-strike pinning is less reliable than it is for high-OI names. PMT is currently in negative dealer gamma (-$143.7K), a regime that amplifies directional moves rather than damping them, weakening the pin-toward-max-pain bias. Max pain identifies the strike at which the aggregate dollar value of all outstanding options contracts would expire with the least total intrinsic value, a gravitational reference rather than a price target.

PMT Strategy Implications at the Current Max Pain Level

With spot 21.0% from the $12.50 max-pain level and PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust in a negative-gamma regime, where dealer hedging amplifies directional moves and weakens any pin, strategy selection turns on cycle position and dealer positioning. Iron condors and credit spreads centered near the max-pain strike capture the typical end-of-cycle convergence when the regime supports pinning; ratio backspreads or directional debit structures fit names where catalyst flow is likely to overwhelm the hedging-driven pull. The gamma-exposure page shows the per-strike dealer book that determines whether hedging will reinforce or fight the pin.

Learn how max pain is reported and how to read the data →

PMT highest open-interest contracts

TypeStrikeExpirationVolumeOIIVBidAsk
PUT$12.50Oct 16, 20260236830.8%$2.30$3.20
CALL$10.00Oct 16, 202610234476.4%$0.70$0.95
PUT$10.00Oct 16, 202602.4K476.4%$0.45$1.05

Top 3 contracts from the ORATS-sourced nightly scan; ranked by oi within the broader S&P 500/400/600 + ETF universe.

Frequently asked PMT max pain analysis questions

What is the current PMT max pain strike?
As of May 15, 2026, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) max pain sits at $12.50, which is 21.0% above the current spot price of $10.33. Max pain identifies the strike at which aggregate option-buyer payouts at expiration are minimized; it is a gravitational reference, not a price target. A 21.0% gap is wide enough that the pinning effect alone is unlikely to close it; expect catalyst flow, positioning unwinds, or rebalancing to drive the price path before any expiration pull.
Does PMT pin to its max pain strike at expiration?
PMT is currently in negative dealer gamma, a regime that amplifies directional moves rather than damping them. The pin-toward-max-pain bias weakens here because dealer hedging adds momentum rather than mean reversion. Total open interest across PMT (40.0K contracts) is one input to how plausible a clean pin is - heavier total OI concentrated at fewer strikes raises the probability; thin OI spread across many strikes lowers it. Pinning is strongest in heavily-traded names with large open-interest concentrations at high-OI strikes during the final week of an OPEX cycle. Whether PMT actually pins on a given expiration depends on the OI distribution, the dealer-gamma sign, and the absence of catalyst-driven moves that overwhelm hedging-driven flow.
How is PMT max pain calculated?
Max pain is computed by summing the dollar value of all in-the-money options at each candidate settlement strike across listed expirations, then selecting the strike that minimizes total intrinsic-value payout to option buyers. The calculation uses the full open-interest distribution and weighs both calls and puts. PMT put/call OI ratio is 1.43 - put-heavy, which biases the max-pain calculation toward strikes below current spot when the put OI concentrates there.