PII Butterfly Strategy
PII (Polaris Inc.), in the Consumer Cyclical sector, (Auto - Recreational Vehicles industry), listed on NYSE.
Polaris Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets power sports vehicles worldwide. It operates through three segments: Off-Road, On-Road and Marine. The company offers off-road vehicles (ORVs), including all-terrain vehicles and side-by-side vehicles; snowmobiles and snow bikes conversion kit systems; motorcycles; and low emission, light duty hauling, passenger, and industrial vehicles. It also provides quadricycles and moto-roadsters; ORV accessories comprising winches, bumper, plows, racks, wheels and tires, pull-behinds, cab systems, lighting and audio systems, cargo box accessories, tracks, and oil; snowmobile accessories, which include covers, traction products, electric starters, reverse kits, tracks, bags, windshields, oil, and lubricants; and motorcycle accessories, such as saddle bags, handlebars, backrests, exhausts, windshields, seats, oil, and various chrome accessories. In addition, the company offers gear and apparel, such as helmets, jackets, gloves, pants, hats, goggles, boots, bibs, and leathers; and pontoon and deck boats. The company provides its products through dealers and distributors, and online; and aftermarket parts, garments, and accessories through 101 brick-and-mortar retail centers, call centers, and e-commerce sites.
PII (Polaris Inc.) trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically Auto - Recreational Vehicles, with a market capitalization of approximately $3.62B, a beta of 1.26 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 36.73-75.25, average daily share volume of 1.3M, a public-listing history dating back to 1987, approximately 15K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how PII stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.26 places PII roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline. PII pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on PII?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current PII snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $64.82, ATM IV 47.90%, IV rank 26.08%, expected move 13.73%. The butterfly on PII below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 245-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on PII specifically: PII IV at 47.90% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a PII butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 13.73% (roughly $8.90 on the underlying). The 245-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated PII expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on PII should anchor to the underlying notional of $64.82 per share and to the trader's directional view on PII stock.
PII butterfly setup
The PII butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With PII near $64.82, the first option leg uses a $60.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed PII chain at a 245-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 PII shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $60.00 | $12.95 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $65.00 | $10.90 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $70.00 | $8.75 |
PII butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- +$10.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $494.93
- Max Loss (per contract)
- $10.00
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 49.493
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
PII butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on PII. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | +$10.00 |
| $14.34 | -77.9% | +$10.00 |
| $28.67 | -55.8% | +$10.00 |
| $43.00 | -33.7% | +$10.00 |
| $57.33 | -11.5% | +$10.00 |
| $71.66 | +10.6% | +$10.00 |
| $86.00 | +32.7% | +$10.00 |
| $100.33 | +54.8% | +$10.00 |
| $114.66 | +76.9% | +$10.00 |
| $128.99 | +99.0% | +$10.00 |
When traders use butterfly on PII
Butterflies on PII are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect PII to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
PII thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for PII extends from approximately $55.92 on the downside to $73.72 on the upside. A PII long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if PII settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current PII IV rank near 26.08% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on PII at 47.90%. As a Consumer Cyclical name, PII options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to PII-specific events.
PII butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. PII positions also carry Consumer Cyclical sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move PII alongside the broader basket even when PII-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current PII chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on PII?
- A butterfly on PII is the butterfly strategy applied to PII (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With PII stock trading near $64.82, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed PII chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are PII butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the PII butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 47.90%), the computed maximum profit is $494.93 per contract and the computed maximum loss is $10.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a PII butterfly?
- The breakeven for the PII butterfly priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current PII market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 13.73%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on PII?
- Butterflies on PII are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect PII to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current PII implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- PII ATM IV is at 47.90% with IV rank near 26.08%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.