Is PGR options pricing rich or cheap right now?

As of Aug 14, 2026, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) ATM IV is 25.0% against 20-day realized volatility of 45.0%. IV rank is 51.2%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.

What is the PGR variance risk premium?

The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. PGR is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.

What does PGR IV rank mean for strategy selection?

IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. PGR's current rank of 51.2% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) operates in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, with a market capitalization near $121.86B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 70,053 people, carrying a beta of 0.26 to the broader market. The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, offers a comprehensive range of insurance products and associated services across the United States. Led by Susan Patricia Griffith, public since 1980-03-17.

Snapshot as of Aug 14, 2026.

Spot Price: $210.70
ATM IV: 25.0%
HV 20-Day: 45.0%
HV 60-Day: 35.9%
IV Rank: 51.2%
IV Percentile: 20.6%

As of Aug 14, 2026, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) ATM implied volatility is 25.0%. 20-day realized volatility is 45.0%, producing an IV-HV spread of -20.0 vol points. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied, an inversion that can signal a pending IV expansion. IV rank is 51.2%.

How PGR iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on The Progressive Corporation options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 25.0% and dealer gamma exposure is negative, so dealer hedging amplifies directional moves. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

How to read the PGR IV vs HV chart

The dual-line chart above tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV currently prints at 25.0%, 51.2% IV rank, against 45.0% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is currently below realized by 20.0 vol points, an inverted regime where premium buyers are underpaying for the move - rare and often a setup for IV expansion. Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.

PGR IV/HV regimes and trade selection

PGR IV rank at 51.2% sits mid-range - no structural edge from rank alone. Strategy choice should follow event calendar and the dealer-positioning read.

Using PGR vol history alongside the term structure

The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Term structure is roughly flat at -0.007, no strong near vs far premium being priced. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.

PGR IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context

Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. PGR's 51.2% IV rank places the ticker in the mid-range of its 1-year window - no strong cycle-position signal. The ratio of HV-20 (45.0%) to HV-60 (35.9%) gives a second cycle indicator: when 20-day exceeds 60-day, recent realization is running hotter than the trailing-quarter average - typically a sign that recent days have already started expanding vol regardless of where IV rank prints. Use the time series above to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for PGR over the last ~28 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.

Daily values from end-of-day option_ticker_snapshots. Series sparse on illiquid tickers reflects gaps in the upstream end-of-day options data feed.

Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.

Date	ATM IV	HV 20d	HV 60d	IV Rank
Aug 14, 2026	25.0%	45.0%	35.9%	51.2%
Aug 13, 2026	26.0%	45.5%	35.9%	56.7%
Aug 12, 2026	23.7%	45.5%	35.9%	44.6%
Aug 11, 2026	25.3%	45.1%	35.6%	52.7%
Aug 10, 2026	25.4%	45.1%	35.6%	53.6%
Aug 7, 2026	25.6%	45.7%	35.9%	54.5%
Aug 6, 2026	25.8%	45.7%	36.0%	55.4%
Aug 5, 2026	26.5%	46.7%	36.3%	59.3%
Aug 4, 2026	27.4%	47.6%	36.4%	64.1%
Aug 3, 2026	27.2%	47.6%	36.4%	62.8%
Jul 31, 2026	27.4%	47.8%	36.4%	63.8%
Jul 30, 2026	26.5%	48.0%	36.5%	59.3%
Jul 29, 2026	27.2%	51.2%	35.9%	62.9%
Jul 27, 2026	28.3%	51.5%	35.8%	69.0%
Jul 24, 2026	27.4%	51.8%	36.0%	63.8%

Frequently asked PGR iv/hv history questions

Is PGR options pricing rich or cheap right now?: As of Aug 14, 2026, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) ATM IV is 25.0% against 20-day realized volatility of 45.0%. IV rank is 51.2%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.
What is the PGR variance risk premium?: The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. PGR is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does PGR IV rank mean for strategy selection?: IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. PGR's current rank of 51.2% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.