Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. (PESI) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. (PESI) operates in the Industrials sector, specifically the Waste Management industry, with a market capitalization near $180.1M, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 293 people, carrying a beta of 0.61 to the broader market. Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. Led by Mark J. Duff, public since 1992-12-08.
Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $9.75
- Expected Move
- 19.8%
- Implied High
- $11.68
- Implied Low
- $7.82
- Front DTE
- 34 days
As of May 15, 2026, Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. (PESI) has an expected move of 19.81%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $7.82 to $11.68 from the current $9.75. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
PESI Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. pricing an expected move of 19.81% from $9.75, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for PESI derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $9.75 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | 34 | 69.1% | 21.1% | $11.81 | $7.69 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 63 | 70.0% | 29.1% | $12.59 | $6.91 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 126 | 75.9% | 44.6% | $14.10 | $5.40 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 217 | 79.9% | 61.6% | $15.76 | $3.74 |
Frequently asked PESI expected move questions
- What is the current PESI expected move?
- As of May 15, 2026, Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. (PESI) has an expected move of 19.81% over the next 34 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $7.82 to $11.68 from the current $9.75. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the PESI expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is PESI expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.