O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Packaging & Containers industry, with a market capitalization near $1.38B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 21,000 people, carrying a beta of 0.65 to the broader market. O-I Glass, Inc. Led by Gordon J. Hardie, public since 1991-12-11.
Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $8.37
- Expected Move
- 18.8%
- Implied High
- $9.94
- Implied Low
- $6.80
- Front DTE
- 34 days
As of May 15, 2026, O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) has an expected move of 18.81%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $6.80 to $9.94 from the current $8.37. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
OI Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With O-I Glass, Inc. pricing an expected move of 18.81% from $8.37, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for OI derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $8.37 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | 34 | 65.6% | 20.0% | $10.05 | $6.69 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 63 | 60.8% | 25.3% | $10.48 | $6.26 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 98 | 66.9% | 34.7% | $11.27 | $5.47 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 189 | 63.0% | 45.3% | $12.16 | $4.58 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 217 | 61.4% | 47.3% | $12.33 | $4.41 |
OI highest implied-volatility contracts
| Type | Strike | Expiration | Volume | OI | IV | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CALL | $10.00 | Dec 18, 2026 | 574 | 17.3K | 58.2% | $1.00 | $1.15 |
Top 1 contracts from the ORATS-sourced nightly scan; ranked by iv within the broader S&P 500/400/600 + ETF universe.
Frequently asked OI expected move questions
- What is the current OI expected move?
- As of May 15, 2026, O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) has an expected move of 18.81% over the next 34 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $6.80 to $9.94 from the current $8.37. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the OI expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is OI expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.