ODD Butterfly Strategy
ODD (Oddity Tech Ltd.), in the Technology sector, (Software - Infrastructure industry), listed on NASDAQ.
Operating globally, Oddity Tech Ltd. and its affiliated companies function as a consumer technology enterprise. It delivers beauty and wellness merchandise, leveraging its proprietary PowerMatch technology. The firm's strategic focus is on developing and growing digitally native brands, aiming to revolutionize the traditionally brick-and-mortar beauty and wellness sectors. Its product portfolio features items for the face, complexion, eyes, brows, lips, and general skincare, marketed under the IL MAKIAGE label. Additionally, the SpoiledChild brand specializes in hair and skin care solutions. Founded in 2013, this corporation maintains its headquarters in Tel Aviv-Jaffa, Israel.
ODD (Oddity Tech Ltd.) trades in the Technology sector, specifically Software - Infrastructure, with a market capitalization of approximately $847.0M, a trailing P/E of 16.23, a beta of 2.48 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 9.25-77.834, average daily share volume of 1.7M, a public-listing history dating back to 2023, approximately 489 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how ODD stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 2.48 indicates ODD has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position.
What is a butterfly on ODD?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current ODD snapshot
As of June 30, 2026, spot at $15.14, ATM IV 90.22%, IV rank 56.95%, expected move 25.87%. The butterfly on ODD below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 31-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on ODD specifically: ODD IV at 90.22% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 25.87% (roughly $3.92 on the underlying). The 31-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated ODD expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on ODD should anchor to the underlying notional of $15.14 per share and to the trader's directional view on ODD stock.
ODD butterfly setup
The ODD butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With ODD near $15.14, the first option leg uses a $14.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed ODD chain at a 31-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 ODD shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $14.00 | $2.20 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $15.00 | $1.58 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $16.00 | $1.15 |
ODD butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$20.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $73.11
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$20.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $14.20, $15.80
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 3.655
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
ODD butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on ODD. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -99.9% | -$20.00 |
| $3.36 | -77.8% | -$20.00 |
| $6.70 | -55.7% | -$20.00 |
| $10.05 | -33.6% | -$20.00 |
| $13.40 | -11.5% | -$20.00 |
| $16.74 | +10.6% | -$20.00 |
| $20.09 | +32.7% | -$20.00 |
| $23.44 | +54.8% | -$20.00 |
| $26.78 | +76.9% | -$20.00 |
| $30.13 | +99.0% | -$20.00 |
When traders use butterfly on ODD
Butterflies on ODD are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect ODD to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
ODD thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for ODD extends from approximately $11.22 on the downside to $19.06 on the upside. A ODD long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if ODD settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current ODD IV rank near 56.95% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on ODD should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Technology name, ODD options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to ODD-specific events.
ODD butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. ODD positions also carry Technology sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move ODD alongside the broader basket even when ODD-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current ODD chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on ODD?
- A butterfly on ODD is the butterfly strategy applied to ODD (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With ODD stock trading near $15.14, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed ODD chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are ODD butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the ODD butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 90.22%), the computed maximum profit is $73.11 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$20.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a ODD butterfly?
- The breakeven for the ODD butterfly priced on this page is roughly $14.20 and $15.80 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current ODD market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 25.87%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on ODD?
- Butterflies on ODD are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect ODD to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current ODD implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- ODD ATM IV is at 90.22% with IV rank near 56.95%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.