New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. (NUAI) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. (NUAI) operates in the Energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas Energy industry, with a market capitalization near $339.1M, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 7 people, carrying a beta of 1.28 to the broader market. New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. Led by Everett Willard Gray, public since 2025-08-13.
Snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $6.36
- Expected Move
- 43.9%
- Implied High
- $9.15
- Implied Low
- $3.57
- Front DTE
- 31 days
As of Jun 30, 2026, New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. (NUAI) has an expected move of 43.89%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $3.57 to $9.15 from the current $6.36. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
NUAI Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. pricing an expected move of 43.89% from $6.36, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
How to read the NUAI implied-range chart
The shaded range above shows the one-standard-deviation implied price band at each listed expiration, derived from ATM implied volatility scaled to days-to-expiration. The front-tenor expected move is 43.89%, anchoring an implied range of approximately $3.57 to $9.15. Under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside that band; 95% fall inside ±2σ; 99.7% inside ±3σ. The empirical equity-return distribution has fatter tails than lognormal, so true tail-outcome frequency is moderately higher than these closed-form numbers suggest.
NUAI expected move and event pricing
Expected move widens with √time: a 5% 30-day move corresponds to roughly a 2.5% 7.5-day move and a 10% 120-day move. NUAI term-structure is in contango (slope 0.143), so longer-dated tenors price in proportionally more vol than √time scaling alone would suggest - typically because long-dated cycles include uncertain macro states.
Sizing NUAI structures to the expected move
Iron condors with wings at ±1σ collect the modal-outcome premium; ±1.5σ widens probability of inside-range to ~87% but cuts collected premium roughly in half. Strangles do the inverse trade - they pay against the same lognormal distribution, profiting when realized exceeds implied. Calendar spreads bet on the slope of the term structure rather than the level. NUAI put/call volume ratio currently at 0.69 indicates balanced flow without strong directional skew. The expected move is the inputs the chain is pricing, not a forecast - realized moves above or below are normal under any distribution.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for NUAI derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $6.36 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | 2 | 146.6% | 10.9% | $7.05 | $5.67 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 10 | 131.6% | 21.8% | $7.75 | $4.97 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 17 | 147.8% | 31.9% | $8.39 | $4.33 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 24 | 154.5% | 39.6% | $8.88 | $3.84 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 31 | 152.9% | 44.6% | $9.19 | $3.53 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 38 | 167.2% | 53.9% | $9.79 | $2.93 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 52 | 171.1% | 64.6% | $10.47 | $2.25 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 143 | 171.8% | 107.5% | $13.20 | $-0.48 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 199 | 159.1% | 117.5% | $13.83 | $-1.11 |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 234 | 162.3% | 130.0% | $14.62 | $-1.90 |
| Dec 17, 2027 | 535 | 138.2% | 167.3% | $17.00 | $-4.28 |
| Jan 21, 2028 | 570 | 150.2% | 187.7% | $18.30 | $-5.58 |
Frequently asked NUAI expected move questions
- What is the current NUAI expected move?
- As of Jun 30, 2026, New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. (NUAI) has an expected move of 43.89% over the next 31 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $3.57 to $9.15 from the current $6.36. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the NUAI expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is NUAI expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.