Is NOK options pricing rich or cheap right now?

As of Jun 12, 2026, Nokia Oyj (NOK) ATM IV is 79.9% against 20-day realized volatility of 87.7%. IV rank is 45.6%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.

What is the NOK variance risk premium?

The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. NOK is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.

What does NOK IV rank mean for strategy selection?

IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. NOK's current rank of 45.6% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.

Nokia Oyj (NOK) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

Nokia Oyj (NOK) operates in the Technology sector, specifically the Communication Equipment industry, with a market capitalization near $72.32B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 78,434 people, carrying a beta of 0.78 to the broader market. Nokia Oyj stands as a global technology leader, delivering comprehensive network infrastructure and solutions across mobile, fixed, and cloud domains. Led by Justin Hotard, public since 1994-07-01.

Snapshot as of Jun 12, 2026.

Spot Price: $14.91
ATM IV: 79.9%
HV 20-Day: 87.7%
HV 60-Day: 74.8%
IV Rank: 45.6%
IV Percentile: 95.6%

As of Jun 12, 2026, Nokia Oyj (NOK) ATM implied volatility is 79.9%. 20-day realized volatility is 87.7%, producing an IV-HV spread of -7.7 vol points. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied, an inversion that can signal a pending IV expansion. IV rank is 45.6%.

How NOK iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on Nokia Oyj options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 79.9% and dealer gamma exposure is positive, so dealer hedging is mechanically mean-reverting. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

How to read the NOK IV vs HV chart

The dual-line chart above tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV currently prints at 79.9%, 45.6% IV rank, against 87.7% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is currently below realized by 7.7 vol points, an inverted regime where premium buyers are underpaying for the move - rare and often a setup for IV expansion. Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.

NOK IV/HV regimes and trade selection

NOK IV rank at 45.6% sits mid-range - no structural edge from rank alone. Strategy choice should follow event calendar and the dealer-positioning read.

Using NOK vol history alongside the term structure

The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Term structure is roughly flat at 0.016, no strong near vs far premium being priced. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.

NOK IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context

Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. NOK's 45.6% IV rank places the ticker in the mid-range of its 1-year window - no strong cycle-position signal. The ratio of HV-20 (87.7%) to HV-60 (74.8%) gives a second cycle indicator: when 20-day exceeds 60-day, recent realization is running hotter than the trailing-quarter average - typically a sign that recent days have already started expanding vol regardless of where IV rank prints. Use the time series above to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for NOK over the last ~30 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.

Daily values from end-of-day option_ticker_snapshots. Series sparse on illiquid tickers reflects gaps in the upstream end-of-day options data feed.

Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.

Date	ATM IV	HV 20d	HV 60d	IV Rank
Jun 12, 2026	79.9%	87.7%	74.8%	45.6%
Jun 11, 2026	75.8%	85.3%	74.5%	42.6%
Jun 10, 2026	74.5%	92.2%	74.1%	41.6%
Jun 9, 2026	77.6%	94.0%	74.4%	43.9%
Jun 8, 2026	79.6%	96.8%	73.2%	45.4%
Jun 5, 2026	81.6%	98.0%	73.2%	46.8%
Jun 4, 2026	81.9%	86.6%	66.2%	47.1%
Jun 3, 2026	85.9%	87.3%	66.1%	50.0%
Jun 2, 2026	87.9%	87.3%	66.0%	51.4%
Jun 1, 2026	88.5%	87.6%	66.1%	51.9%
May 29, 2026	78.0%	82.7%	64.7%	44.2%
May 28, 2026	79.4%	81.9%	64.1%	45.2%
May 27, 2026	82.1%	88.6%	64.0%	47.2%
May 26, 2026	85.8%	85.8%	64.2%	49.9%
May 22, 2026	73.9%	84.6%	63.6%	41.2%

Frequently asked NOK iv/hv history questions

Is NOK options pricing rich or cheap right now?: As of Jun 12, 2026, Nokia Oyj (NOK) ATM IV is 79.9% against 20-day realized volatility of 87.7%. IV rank is 45.6%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.
What is the NOK variance risk premium?: The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. NOK is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does NOK IV rank mean for strategy selection?: IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. NOK's current rank of 45.6% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.