How are MSTR butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the MSTR butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 66.46%), the computed maximum profit is $745.93 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$240.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.

What is the breakeven for a MSTR butterfly?

The breakeven for the MSTR butterfly priced on this page is roughly $185.10 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current MSTR market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 19.05%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.

How does current MSTR implied volatility affect this butterfly?

MSTR ATM IV is at 66.46% with IV rank near 27.98%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.

MSTR Butterfly Strategy

MSTR (Strategy Inc), in the Technology sector, (Software - Application industry), listed on NASDAQ.

Strategy Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a bitcoin treasury company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company offers investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed income instruments. It also provides AI-powered enterprise analytics software, including Strategy One, which provides non-technical users with the ability to directly access novel and actionable insights for decision-making; and Strategy Mosaic, a universal intelligence layer that offers enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it. The company was formerly known as MicroStrategy Incorporated and changed its name to Strategy Inc in August 2025. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia.

MSTR (Strategy Inc) trades in the Technology sector, specifically Software - Application, with a market capitalization of approximately $52.89B, a beta of 3.60 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 104.17-457.22, average daily share volume of 19.1M, a public-listing history dating back to 1998, approximately 2K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how MSTR stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 3.60 indicates MSTR has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position.

What is a butterfly on MSTR?

A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.

Current MSTR snapshot

As of May 15, 2026, spot at $178.25, ATM IV 66.46%, IV rank 27.98%, expected move 19.05%. The butterfly on MSTR below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 28-day expiry.

Why this butterfly structure on MSTR specifically: MSTR IV at 66.46% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a MSTR butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 19.05% (roughly $33.96 on the underlying). The 28-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated MSTR expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on MSTR should anchor to the underlying notional of $178.25 per share and to the trader's directional view on MSTR stock.

MSTR butterfly setup

The MSTR butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With MSTR near $178.25, the first option leg uses a $170.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed MSTR chain at a 28-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 MSTR shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

Action	Type	Strike / Basis	Premium (est)
Buy 1	Call	$170.00	$17.95
Sell 2	Call	$177.50	$13.93
Buy 1	Call	$187.50	$9.80

MSTR butterfly risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit: +$10.00
Max Profit (per contract): $745.93
Max Loss (per contract): -$240.00
Breakeven(s): $185.10
Risk / Reward Ratio: 3.108

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.

MSTR butterfly payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on MSTR. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

Underlying Price	% From Spot	P&L at Expiration
$0.01	-100.0%	+$10.00
$39.42	-77.9%	+$10.00
$78.83	-55.8%	+$10.00
$118.24	-33.7%	+$10.00
$157.65	-11.6%	+$10.00
$197.06	+10.6%	-$240.00
$236.48	+32.7%	-$240.00
$275.89	+54.8%	-$240.00
$315.30	+76.9%	-$240.00
$354.71	+99.0%	-$240.00

When traders use butterfly on MSTR

Butterflies on MSTR are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect MSTR to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.

MSTR thesis for this butterfly

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for MSTR extends from approximately $144.29 on the downside to $212.21 on the upside. A MSTR long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if MSTR settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current MSTR IV rank near 27.98% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on MSTR at 66.46%. As a Technology name, MSTR options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to MSTR-specific events.

MSTR butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. MSTR positions also carry Technology sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move MSTR alongside the broader basket even when MSTR-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current MSTR chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a butterfly on MSTR?: A butterfly on MSTR is the butterfly strategy applied to MSTR (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With MSTR stock trading near $178.25, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed MSTR chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
How are MSTR butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?: Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the MSTR butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 66.46%), the computed maximum profit is $745.93 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$240.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a MSTR butterfly?: The breakeven for the MSTR butterfly priced on this page is roughly $185.10 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current MSTR market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 19.05%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a butterfly on MSTR?: Butterflies on MSTR are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect MSTR to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
How does current MSTR implied volatility affect this butterfly?: MSTR ATM IV is at 66.46% with IV rank near 27.98%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.