Merlin, Inc. (MRLN) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

Merlin, Inc. (MRLN) operates in the Technology sector, specifically the Software - Application industry, with a market capitalization near $198.1M, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 3 people, carrying a beta of 1.70 to the broader market. Merlin, Inc. Led by Timothy Burns, public since 2026-03-17.

Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.

Spot Price
$6.63
ATM IV
108.4%
HV 20-Day
149.7%
HV 60-Day
255.5%
IV Rank
33.3%
IV Percentile
63.5%

As of May 15, 2026, Merlin, Inc. (MRLN) ATM implied volatility is 108.4%. 20-day realized volatility is 149.7%, producing an IV-HV spread of -41.3 vol points. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied, an inversion that can signal a pending IV expansion. IV rank is 33.3%.

How MRLN iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on Merlin, Inc. options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 108.4% and dealer gamma exposure is positive, so dealer hedging is mechanically mean-reverting. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Frequently asked MRLN iv/hv history questions

Is MRLN options pricing rich or cheap right now?
As of May 15, 2026, Merlin, Inc. (MRLN) ATM IV is 108.4% against 20-day realized volatility of 149.7%. IV rank is 33.3%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.
What is the MRLN variance risk premium?
The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. MRLN is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does MRLN IV rank mean for strategy selection?
IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. MRLN's current rank of 33.3% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.