MBLY Long Put Strategy
MBLY (Mobileye Global Inc.), in the Consumer Cyclical sector, (Auto - Parts industry), listed on NASDAQ.
Mobileye Global Inc. is at the forefront of developing and deploying sophisticated advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies worldwide. Its diverse array of offerings includes Driver Assist, a suite of ADAS and autonomous vehicle capabilities that prioritize safety by providing real-time detection of road users, geometry, semantics, and markings, leading to timely alerts and emergency interventions. Complementing this, Cloud-Enhanced Driver Assist furnishes drivers with immediate, cloud-informed interpretations of their surroundings. The company also features its Mobileye SuperVision family of products, which spans from the concise SuperVision Lite, an effective driver assistance solution, to the more comprehensive SuperVision. The latter is an advanced assisted point-to-point navigation system, functional across various road types, and integrates cloud-based enhancements such as road experience management, alongside supporting seamless over-the-air updates. For higher levels of autonomy, Mobileye offers Mobileye Chauffeur, a next-generation solution, and Mobileye Drive, a robust Level 4 autonomous system that includes self-driving vehicle platforms and autonomous mobility-as-a-service options.
MBLY (Mobileye Global Inc.) trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically Auto - Parts, with a market capitalization of approximately $6.36B, a beta of 1.15 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 6.47-20.18, average daily share volume of 6.4M, a public-listing history dating back to 2022, approximately 4K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how MBLY stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.15 places MBLY roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline.
What is a long put on MBLY?
A long put buys downside exposure with a fixed maximum loss equal to the premium paid; profit accrues if the underlying closes below the strike minus premium at expiration.
Current MBLY snapshot
As of June 30, 2026, spot at $9.57, ATM IV 78.13%, IV rank 67.46%, expected move 22.40%. The long put on MBLY below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 31-day expiry.
Why this long put structure on MBLY specifically: MBLY IV at 78.13% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 22.40% (roughly $2.14 on the underlying). The 31-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated MBLY expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on MBLY should anchor to the underlying notional of $9.57 per share and to the trader's directional view on MBLY stock.
MBLY long put setup
The MBLY long put below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With MBLY near $9.57, the first option leg uses a $9.50 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed MBLY chain at a 31-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 MBLY shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Put | $9.50 | $0.84 |
MBLY long put risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$83.50
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $865.50
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$83.50
- Breakeven(s)
- $8.67
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 10.365
Max profit equals the strike minus premium times 100 (reached at zero); max loss equals the premium times 100. Breakeven is strike minus premium.
MBLY long put payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the long put on MBLY. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -99.9% | +$865.50 |
| $2.12 | -77.8% | +$654.01 |
| $4.24 | -55.7% | +$442.53 |
| $6.35 | -33.6% | +$231.04 |
| $8.47 | -11.5% | +$19.55 |
| $10.58 | +10.6% | -$83.50 |
| $12.70 | +32.7% | -$83.50 |
| $14.81 | +54.8% | -$83.50 |
| $16.93 | +76.9% | -$83.50 |
| $19.04 | +99.0% | -$83.50 |
When traders use long put on MBLY
Long puts on MBLY hedge an existing long MBLY stock position or express a bearish view with defined risk; position sizing typically scales the put notional to the underlying MBLY exposure being hedged.
MBLY thesis for this long put
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for MBLY extends from approximately $7.43 on the downside to $11.71 on the upside. A MBLY long put expresses a directional view that the underlying closes below the strike minus premium at expiration, frequently sized to hedge an existing long MBLY position with one put per 100 shares held. Current MBLY IV rank near 67.46% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the long put thesis on MBLY should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Consumer Cyclical name, MBLY options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to MBLY-specific events.
MBLY long put positions are structurally bearish; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. MBLY positions also carry Consumer Cyclical sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move MBLY alongside the broader basket even when MBLY-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Long-premium structures like a long put on MBLY are particularly exposed to IV-crush risk through scheduled events (earnings, FDA decisions, central-bank meetings) where IV typically contracts post-event regardless of the directional outcome. Always rebuild the position from current MBLY chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a long put on MBLY?
- A long put on MBLY is the long put strategy applied to MBLY (stock). The strategy is structurally bearish: A long put buys downside exposure with a fixed maximum loss equal to the premium paid; profit accrues if the underlying closes below the strike minus premium at expiration. With MBLY stock trading near $9.57, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed MBLY chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are MBLY long put max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the strike minus premium times 100 (reached at zero); max loss equals the premium times 100. Breakeven is strike minus premium. For the MBLY long put priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 78.13%), the computed maximum profit is $865.50 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$83.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a MBLY long put?
- The breakeven for the MBLY long put priced on this page is roughly $8.67 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current MBLY market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 22.40%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a long put on MBLY?
- Long puts on MBLY hedge an existing long MBLY stock position or express a bearish view with defined risk; position sizing typically scales the put notional to the underlying MBLY exposure being hedged.
- How does current MBLY implied volatility affect this long put?
- MBLY ATM IV is at 78.13% with IV rank near 67.46%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.