MBLY Iron Condor Strategy
MBLY (Mobileye Global Inc.), in the Consumer Cyclical sector, (Auto - Parts industry), listed on NASDAQ.
Mobileye Global Inc. engages in the development and deployment of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions worldwide. The company offers Driver Assist, which comprise ADAS and autonomous vehicle solutions that covers safety features, such as real-time detection of road users, geometry, semantics, and markings to provide safety alerts and emergency interventions; Cloud-Enhanced Driver Assist, a solution for drivers with interpretations of a scene in real-time; Mobileye SuperVision Lite, a driver assist solution; and Mobileye SuperVision, an operational point-to-point assisted driving navigation solution on various road types and includes cloud-based enhancements, such as road experience management and supports over-the-air updates. It also provides Mobileye Chauffeur, a generation solution; and Mobileye Drive, a Level 4 solution, which comprise a set of autonomous driving technology solutions, such as Self-Driving System & Vehicles and Autonomous Mobility as a Service. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel. Mobileye Global Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Intel Overseas Funding Corporation.
MBLY (Mobileye Global Inc.) trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically Auto - Parts, with a market capitalization of approximately $8.58B, a beta of 1.05 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 6.47-20.18, average daily share volume of 6.0M, a public-listing history dating back to 2022, approximately 4K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how MBLY stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.05 places MBLY roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline.
What is a iron condor on MBLY?
An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes.
Current MBLY snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $10.05, ATM IV 67.74%, IV rank 48.70%, expected move 19.42%. The iron condor on MBLY below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 28-day expiry.
Why this iron condor structure on MBLY specifically: MBLY IV at 67.74% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so the credit collected on a MBLY iron condor sits in line with its long-run distribution, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 19.42% (roughly $1.95 on the underlying). The 28-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated MBLY expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on MBLY should anchor to the underlying notional of $10.05 per share and to the trader's directional view on MBLY stock.
MBLY iron condor setup
The MBLY iron condor below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With MBLY near $10.05, the first option leg uses a $10.50 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed MBLY chain at a 28-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 MBLY shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sell 1 | Call | $10.50 | $0.58 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $11.00 | $0.36 |
| Sell 1 | Put | $9.50 | $0.47 |
| Buy 1 | Put | $9.00 | $0.29 |
MBLY iron condor risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- +$40.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $40.00
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$10.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $9.10, $10.90
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 4.000
Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit.
MBLY iron condor payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the iron condor on MBLY. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -99.9% | -$10.00 |
| $2.23 | -77.8% | -$10.00 |
| $4.45 | -55.7% | -$10.00 |
| $6.67 | -33.6% | -$10.00 |
| $8.89 | -11.5% | -$10.00 |
| $11.12 | +10.6% | -$10.00 |
| $13.34 | +32.7% | -$10.00 |
| $15.56 | +54.8% | -$10.00 |
| $17.78 | +76.9% | -$10.00 |
| $20.00 | +99.0% | -$10.00 |
When traders use iron condor on MBLY
Iron condors on MBLY are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if MBLY stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
MBLY thesis for this iron condor
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for MBLY extends from approximately $8.10 on the downside to $12.00 on the upside. A MBLY iron condor is a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that pays off when MBLY stays inside the inner short strikes through expiration; the wing width should reflect the trader's tolerance for the maximum loss scenario where the underlying breaches an outer strike. Current MBLY IV rank near 48.70% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the iron condor thesis on MBLY should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Consumer Cyclical name, MBLY options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to MBLY-specific events.
MBLY iron condor positions are structurally neutral / range-bound; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. MBLY positions also carry Consumer Cyclical sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move MBLY alongside the broader basket even when MBLY-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Short-premium structures like a iron condor on MBLY carry tail risk when realized volatility exceeds the implied move; review historical MBLY earnings reactions and macro stress periods before sizing. Always rebuild the position from current MBLY chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a iron condor on MBLY?
- A iron condor on MBLY is the iron condor strategy applied to MBLY (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / range-bound: An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes. With MBLY stock trading near $10.05, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed MBLY chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are MBLY iron condor max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit. For the MBLY iron condor priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 67.74%), the computed maximum profit is $40.00 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$10.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a MBLY iron condor?
- The breakeven for the MBLY iron condor priced on this page is roughly $9.10 and $10.90 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current MBLY market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 19.42%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a iron condor on MBLY?
- Iron condors on MBLY are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if MBLY stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
- How does current MBLY implied volatility affect this iron condor?
- MBLY ATM IV is at 67.74% with IV rank near 48.70%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.