LII Butterfly Strategy
LII (Lennox International Inc.), in the Industrials sector, (Industrial - Machinery industry), listed on NYSE.
Lennox International Inc. is a global manufacturer and distributor specializing in heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), and refrigeration solutions. The company operates across three divisions: Residential Heating & Cooling, Commercial Heating & Cooling, and Refrigeration. Its Residential Heating & Cooling division supplies homeowners with systems like furnaces, air conditioners, and heat pumps, along with indoor air quality products, comfort controls, and replacement components, catering to both new construction and existing residential upgrades. The Commercial Heating & Cooling division serves the light commercial sector, providing unitary HVAC equipment, advanced applied systems, control technologies, and comprehensive installation and maintenance services, including variable refrigerant flow solutions. Lastly, the Refrigeration division delivers essential components such as condensing units, unit coolers, and industrial chillers. These are crucial for food preservation in retail, hospitality, and logistics (e.g., supermarkets, restaurants, warehouses), as well as for specialized cooling needs in data centers, machine tooling, and other industrial applications.
LII (Lennox International Inc.) trades in the Industrials sector, specifically Industrial - Machinery, with a market capitalization of approximately $14.58B, a trailing P/E of 18.91, a beta of 1.20 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 411.41-616.5, average daily share volume of 484K, a public-listing history dating back to 1999, approximately 5K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how LII stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.20 places LII roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline. LII pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on LII?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
LII snapshot
As of August 14, 2026, spot at $421.44, ATM IV 34.10%, IV rank 34.35%, expected move 9.78%. The butterfly on LII below is built from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 35-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on LII specifically: LII IV at 34.10% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 9.78% (roughly $41.20 on the underlying). The 35-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated LII expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on LII should anchor to the underlying notional of $421.44 per share and to the trader's directional view on LII stock.
LII butterfly setup
The LII butterfly below is built from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With LII at $421.44 on that close, the first option leg uses a $400.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed LII chain at a 35-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 LII shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $400.00 | $32.90 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $420.00 | $18.80 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $440.00 | $9.60 |
LII butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$490.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $1,442.72
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$490.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $404.90, $435.10
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 2.944
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
LII butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on LII. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | -$490.00 |
| $93.19 | -77.9% | -$490.00 |
| $186.37 | -55.8% | -$490.00 |
| $279.55 | -33.7% | -$490.00 |
| $372.74 | -11.6% | -$490.00 |
| $465.92 | +10.6% | -$490.00 |
| $559.10 | +32.7% | -$490.00 |
| $652.28 | +54.8% | -$490.00 |
| $745.46 | +76.9% | -$490.00 |
| $838.64 | +99.0% | -$490.00 |
When traders use butterfly on LII
Butterflies on LII are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect LII to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
LII thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for LII extends from approximately $380.24 on the downside to $462.64 on the upside. A LII long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if LII settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current LII IV rank near 34.35% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on LII should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Industrials name, LII options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to LII-specific events.
LII butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. LII positions also carry Industrials sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move LII alongside the broader basket even when LII-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current LII chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on LII?
- A butterfly on LII is the butterfly strategy applied to LII (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With LII stock at $421.44 on the August 14, 2026 close, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed LII chain strike and the premiums come straight from that session's bid/ask midpoint.
- How are LII butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the LII butterfly priced from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 34.10%), the computed maximum profit is $1,442.72 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$490.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a LII butterfly?
- The breakeven for the LII butterfly priced on this page is roughly $404.90 and $435.10 at expiration, derived from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain's premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The LII market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move in the same options snapshot is approximately 9.78%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on LII?
- Butterflies on LII are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect LII to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current LII implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- LII ATM IV is at 34.10% with IV rank near 34.35%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.