Leggett & Platt, Incorporated (LEG) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Leggett & Platt, Incorporated (LEG) operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, with a market capitalization near $1.29B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 15,900 people, carrying a beta of 0.75 to the broader market. Leggett & Platt, Incorporated, founded in Carthage, Missouri, in 1883, operates as a global entity specializing in the engineering, manufacturing, and marketing of a wide array of components and finished goods. Led by Karl G. Glassman, public since 1980-03-17.
Snapshot as of Aug 14, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $9.68
- Expected Move
- 12.0%
- Implied High
- $10.84
- Implied Low
- $8.52
- Front DTE
- 35 days
As of Aug 14, 2026, Leggett & Platt, Incorporated (LEG) has an expected move of 11.99%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $8.52 to $10.84 from the current $9.68. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
LEG Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With Leggett & Platt, Incorporated pricing an expected move of 11.99% from $9.68, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
How to read the LEG implied-range chart
The shaded range above shows the one-standard-deviation implied price band at each listed expiration, derived from ATM implied volatility scaled to days-to-expiration. The front-tenor expected move is 11.99%, anchoring an implied range of approximately $8.52 to $10.84. Under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside that band; 95% fall inside ±2σ; 99.7% inside ±3σ. The empirical equity-return distribution has fatter tails than lognormal, so true tail-outcome frequency is moderately higher than these closed-form numbers suggest.
LEG expected move and event pricing
Expected move widens with √time: a 5% 30-day move corresponds to roughly a 2.5% 7.5-day move and a 10% 120-day move. LEG term-structure is in backwardation (slope -0.077), so near-dated tenors price in disproportionate vol - usually because of a known event in the front-month window. With IV rank at 17.4%, the implied move is at the low end of the typical LEG range - cheap optionality for buyers, thin premium for sellers.
Sizing LEG structures to the expected move
Iron condors with wings at ±1σ collect the modal-outcome premium; ±1.5σ widens probability of inside-range to ~87% but cuts collected premium roughly in half. Strangles do the inverse trade - they pay against the same lognormal distribution, profiting when realized exceeds implied. Calendar spreads bet on the slope of the term structure rather than the level. LEG put/call volume ratio currently at 29.00 indicates protective put flow dominates - look for hedged-money positioning into the move. The expected move is the inputs the chain is pricing, not a forecast - realized moves above or below are normal under any distribution.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for LEG derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $9.68 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 7 | 24.9% | 3.4% | $10.01 | $9.35 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 35 | 41.8% | 13.0% | $10.93 | $8.43 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 126 | 34.1% | 20.0% | $11.62 | $7.74 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 217 | 38.9% | 30.0% | $12.58 | $6.78 |
LEG highest implied-volatility contracts
| Type | Strike | Expiration | Volume | OI | IV | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CALL | $10.00 | Sep 18, 2026 | 0 | 603 | 629.2% | $0.20 | $0.40 |
Top 1 contracts from the institutional-grade nightly options scan; ranked by iv within the broader S&P 500/400/600 + ETF universe.
Frequently asked LEG expected move questions
- What is the current LEG expected move?
- As of Aug 14, 2026, Leggett & Platt, Incorporated (LEG) has an expected move of 11.99% over the next 35 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $8.52 to $10.84 from the current $9.68. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the LEG expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is LEG expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.