Gladstone Land Corporation (LAND) Expected Move

Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.

Gladstone Land Corporation (LAND) operates in the Real Estate sector, specifically the REIT - Industrial industry, with a market capitalization near $411.1M, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 70 people, carrying a beta of 1.06 to the broader market. Founded in 1997, Gladstone Land is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that acquires and owns farmland and farm-related properties located in major agricultural markets in the U. Led by David John Gladstone, public since 2013-01-29.

Snapshot as of May 13, 2026.

Spot Price

$9.48

Expected Move

3.5%

Implied High

$9.81

Implied Low

$9.15

Front DTE

36 days

As of May 13, 2026, Gladstone Land Corporation (LAND) has an expected move of 3.50%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $9.15 to $9.81 from the current $9.48. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.

LAND Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move

With Gladstone Land Corporation pricing an expected move of 3.50% from $9.48, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.

Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →

Per-expiration expected move for LAND derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $9.48 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.

Frequently asked LAND expected move questions

What is the current LAND expected move?

As of May 13, 2026, Gladstone Land Corporation (LAND) has an expected move of 3.50% over the next 36 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $9.15 to $9.81 from the current $9.48. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.

What does the LAND expected move mean for traders?

Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.

How is LAND expected move calculated?

The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.