KMX Bear Put Spread Strategy
KMX (CarMax, Inc.), in the Consumer Cyclical sector, (Auto - Dealerships industry), listed on NYSE.
CarMax, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles in the United States. The company operates through two segments, CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. It offers customers a range of makes and models of used vehicles, including domestic, imported, and luxury vehicles, as well as hybrid and electric vehicles; and extended protection plans to customers at the time of sale, as well as sells vehicles that are approximately 10 years old and has more than 100,000 miles through wholesale auctions. The company also provides reconditioning and vehicle repair services; and financing alternatives for retail customers across a range of credit spectrum through its CarMax Auto Finance and arrangements with various financial institutions. As of February 28, 2022, it operated approximately 230 used car stores. CarMax, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is based in Richmond, Virginia.
KMX (CarMax, Inc.) trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically Auto - Dealerships, with a market capitalization of approximately $5.26B, a trailing P/E of 22.07, a beta of 1.18 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 30.26-71.99, average daily share volume of 3.3M, a public-listing history dating back to 1997, approximately 30K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how KMX stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.18 places KMX roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline.
What is a bear put spread on KMX?
A bear put spread buys an at-the-money put and sells an out-of-the-money put at a lower strike for defined risk and defined reward bounded by the strike width.
Current KMX snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $37.01, ATM IV 68.00%, IV rank 61.50%, expected move 19.50%. The bear put spread on KMX below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 63-day expiry.
Why this bear put spread structure on KMX specifically: KMX IV at 68.00% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 19.50% (roughly $7.22 on the underlying). The 63-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated KMX expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on KMX should anchor to the underlying notional of $37.01 per share and to the trader's directional view on KMX stock.
KMX bear put spread setup
The KMX bear put spread below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With KMX near $37.01, the first option leg uses a $37.50 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed KMX chain at a 63-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 KMX shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Put | $37.50 | $3.75 |
| Sell 1 | Put | $35.00 | $2.60 |
KMX bear put spread risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$115.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $135.00
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$115.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $36.35
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 1.174
Max profit equals strike width minus net debit times 100; max loss equals net debit times 100. Breakeven is long-put strike minus net debit.
KMX bear put spread payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the bear put spread on KMX. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | +$135.00 |
| $8.19 | -77.9% | +$135.00 |
| $16.37 | -55.8% | +$135.00 |
| $24.56 | -33.7% | +$135.00 |
| $32.74 | -11.5% | +$135.00 |
| $40.92 | +10.6% | -$115.00 |
| $49.10 | +32.7% | -$115.00 |
| $57.28 | +54.8% | -$115.00 |
| $65.47 | +76.9% | -$115.00 |
| $73.65 | +99.0% | -$115.00 |
When traders use bear put spread on KMX
Bear put spreads on KMX reduce the cost of a bearish KMX stock position by selling a lower-strike put; suited to moderate-decline theses where price reaches but does not vastly exceed the short strike.
KMX thesis for this bear put spread
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for KMX extends from approximately $29.79 on the downside to $44.23 on the upside. A KMX bear put spread caps both the risk and the reward of a bearish position; relative to an outright long put on KMX, the spread reduces the cost basis but limits the maximum profit to the strike width minus net debit. Current KMX IV rank near 61.50% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the bear put spread thesis on KMX should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Consumer Cyclical name, KMX options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to KMX-specific events.
KMX bear put spread positions are structurally moderately bearish; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. KMX positions also carry Consumer Cyclical sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move KMX alongside the broader basket even when KMX-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Long-premium structures like a bear put spread on KMX are particularly exposed to IV-crush risk through scheduled events (earnings, FDA decisions, central-bank meetings) where IV typically contracts post-event regardless of the directional outcome. Always rebuild the position from current KMX chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a bear put spread on KMX?
- A bear put spread on KMX is the bear put spread strategy applied to KMX (stock). The strategy is structurally moderately bearish: A bear put spread buys an at-the-money put and sells an out-of-the-money put at a lower strike for defined risk and defined reward bounded by the strike width. With KMX stock trading near $37.01, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed KMX chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are KMX bear put spread max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals strike width minus net debit times 100; max loss equals net debit times 100. Breakeven is long-put strike minus net debit. For the KMX bear put spread priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 68.00%), the computed maximum profit is $135.00 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$115.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a KMX bear put spread?
- The breakeven for the KMX bear put spread priced on this page is roughly $36.35 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current KMX market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 19.50%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a bear put spread on KMX?
- Bear put spreads on KMX reduce the cost of a bearish KMX stock position by selling a lower-strike put; suited to moderate-decline theses where price reaches but does not vastly exceed the short strike.
- How does current KMX implied volatility affect this bear put spread?
- KMX ATM IV is at 68.00% with IV rank near 61.50%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.