KDK Iron Condor Strategy
KDK (Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock), in the Technology sector, (Software - Application industry), listed on NASDAQ.
Kodiak AI, Inc. specializes in engineering sophisticated software solutions that deliver AI-powered ground autonomy. This technology enables various vehicles to navigate independently across diverse environments, encompassing highways, urban streets, and rugged off-road terrain. Leveraging a robust multi-sensor architecture, Kodiak AI's innovations cater to the critical demands of the trucking, defense, and broader industrial sectors.
KDK (Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock) trades in the Technology sector, specifically Software - Application, with a market capitalization of approximately $796.7M, a beta of 0.41 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 3.97-11.35, average daily share volume of 1.1M, a public-listing history dating back to 2025, approximately 342 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how KDK stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 0.41 indicates KDK has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure.
What is a iron condor on KDK?
An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes.
KDK snapshot
As of August 14, 2026, spot at $4.15, ATM IV 70.60%, IV rank 14.08%, expected move 20.24%. The iron condor on KDK below is built from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 35-day expiry.
Why this iron condor structure on KDK specifically: KDK IV at 70.60% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which means a premium-selling KDK iron condor collects less credit per unit of strike-width risk, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 20.24% (roughly $0.84 on the underlying). The 35-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated KDK expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on KDK should anchor to the underlying notional of $4.15 per share and to the trader's directional view on KDK stock.
KDK iron condor setup
The KDK iron condor below is built from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With KDK at $4.15 on that close, the first option leg uses a $4.36 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed KDK chain at a 35-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 KDK shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sell 1 | Call | $4.36 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $4.57 | N/A |
| Sell 1 | Put | $3.94 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Put | $3.74 | N/A |
KDK iron condor risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit.
KDK iron condor payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the iron condor on KDK. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use iron condor on KDK
Iron condors on KDK are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if KDK stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
KDK thesis for this iron condor
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for KDK extends from approximately $3.31 on the downside to $4.99 on the upside. A KDK iron condor is a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that pays off when KDK stays inside the inner short strikes through expiration; the wing width should reflect the trader's tolerance for the maximum loss scenario where the underlying breaches an outer strike. Current KDK IV rank near 14.08% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on KDK at 70.60%. As a Technology name, KDK options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to KDK-specific events.
KDK iron condor positions are structurally neutral / range-bound; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. KDK positions also carry Technology sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move KDK alongside the broader basket even when KDK-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Short-premium structures like a iron condor on KDK carry tail risk when realized volatility exceeds the implied move; review historical KDK earnings reactions and macro stress periods before sizing. Always rebuild the position from current KDK chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a iron condor on KDK?
- A iron condor on KDK is the iron condor strategy applied to KDK (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / range-bound: An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes. With KDK stock at $4.15 on the August 14, 2026 close, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed KDK chain strike and the premiums come straight from that session's bid/ask midpoint.
- How are KDK iron condor max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit. For the KDK iron condor priced from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 70.60%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a KDK iron condor?
- The breakeven for the KDK iron condor priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain's premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The KDK market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move in the same options snapshot is approximately 20.24%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a iron condor on KDK?
- Iron condors on KDK are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if KDK stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
- How does current KDK implied volatility affect this iron condor?
- KDK ATM IV is at 70.60% with IV rank near 14.08%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.