JAKK Butterfly Strategy
JAKK (JAKKS Pacific, Inc.), in the Consumer Cyclical sector, (Leisure industry), listed on NASDAQ.
JAKKS Pacific, Inc. is a global enterprise specializing in the conception, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of a diverse array of playthings, electronic products, and various consumer goods. The company operates through two primary divisions: Toys/Consumer Products and Costumes. Within the Toys/Consumer Products segment, JAKKS offers a broad portfolio that includes collectible action figures and their accessories, often based on popular intellectual properties; vehicle playsets and related components; and a wide range of dolls (small, large, fashion, baby, infant, and preschool, frequently tied to licenses) with their accompanying accessories. This division also produces private label merchandise, foot-to-floor ride-ons, imaginative play environments like inflatable structures and tents, and wagons. Furthermore, they provide interactive role-playing and dress-up items, along with novelty products for both boys and girls, utilizing both licensed entertainment properties and proprietary brands. Other offerings include children's indoor and outdoor furniture, activity tables, room decor, kiddie pools, seasonal recreational items, outdoor activity toys, and junior sports equipment, such as specialized balls, sport sets, and toy hoops.
JAKK (JAKKS Pacific, Inc.) trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically Leisure, with a market capitalization of approximately $273.5M, a trailing P/E of 34.30, a beta of 1.44 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 14.87-24.45, average daily share volume of 57K, a public-listing history dating back to 1996, approximately 680 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how JAKK stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.44 indicates JAKK has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position. JAKK pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on JAKK?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current JAKK snapshot
As of June 30, 2026, spot at $23.20, ATM IV 60.70%, IV rank 10.43%, expected move 17.40%. The butterfly on JAKK below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 17-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on JAKK specifically: JAKK IV at 60.70% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a JAKK butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 17.40% (roughly $4.04 on the underlying). The 17-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated JAKK expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on JAKK should anchor to the underlying notional of $23.20 per share and to the trader's directional view on JAKK stock.
JAKK butterfly setup
The JAKK butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With JAKK near $23.20, the first option leg uses a $22.04 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed JAKK chain at a 17-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 JAKK shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $22.04 | N/A |
| Sell 2 | Call | $23.20 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $24.36 | N/A |
JAKK butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
JAKK butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on JAKK. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use butterfly on JAKK
Butterflies on JAKK are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect JAKK to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
JAKK thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for JAKK extends from approximately $19.16 on the downside to $27.24 on the upside. A JAKK long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if JAKK settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current JAKK IV rank near 10.43% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on JAKK at 60.70%. As a Consumer Cyclical name, JAKK options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to JAKK-specific events.
JAKK butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. JAKK positions also carry Consumer Cyclical sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move JAKK alongside the broader basket even when JAKK-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current JAKK chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on JAKK?
- A butterfly on JAKK is the butterfly strategy applied to JAKK (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With JAKK stock trading near $23.20, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed JAKK chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are JAKK butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the JAKK butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 60.70%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a JAKK butterfly?
- The breakeven for the JAKK butterfly priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current JAKK market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 17.40%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on JAKK?
- Butterflies on JAKK are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect JAKK to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current JAKK implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- JAKK ATM IV is at 60.70% with IV rank near 10.43%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.