ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) Volatility Skew

Implied volatility skew shows how IV varies across strike prices for a given expiration. Steeper skews indicate higher demand for downside protection relative to upside speculation.

ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) operates in the Industrials sector, specifically the Consulting Services industry, with a market capitalization near $1.51B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 7,686 people, carrying a beta of 0.53 to the broader market. ICF International, Inc. Led by John Wasson, public since 2006-09-28.

Snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026.

Spot Price
$83.60
ATM IV
308.1%
IV Skew 25Δ
0.012
IV Rank
62.7%
IV Percentile
94.8%
Term Structure Slope
-0.034

As of Sep 30, 2026, ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) at-the-money implied volatility is 308.1%. IV rank is 62.7% (where 0% is the 52-week low and 100% is the 52-week high). IV percentile is 94.8%. The 25-delta skew is +0.012: skew is roughly flat across the 25-delta wings. High IV rank typically favors premium-selling strategies; low IV rank favors premium-buying.

ICFI Strategy Selection at Current Volatility Levels

For ICF International, Inc. options at 308.1% ATM IV, mid-range IV rank (62.7%) is the regime where directional conviction matters more than vol-regime positioning; strategy choice should follow the event calendar and the dealer-positioning view rather than IV rank alone. Pair the vol-rank read with the dealer-gamma view and the upcoming-events calendar to confirm the strategy fits both the structural regime and the path-dependent risk. The variance risk premium - the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized vol - is positive in equity markets on average; high IV rank typically reflects a stretch where the premium is wider than usual.

How to read the ICFI volatility surface

ATM IV currently prints at 308.1%, 62.7% IV rank, against 14.6% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is pricing above realized by 293.5 vol points, the typical variance-risk-premium positive state in which premium sellers earn the gap. Skew is roughly flat at 0.012, indicating balanced tail-risk pricing. The term-structure slope of -0.034 is inverted (backwardation) - near-dated IV trades above longer-dated, signaling acute near-term event risk.

ICFI IV rank and the variance risk premium

ICFI IV rank of 62.7% sits in the middle of its 1-year range - neither premium-selling nor premium-buying carries a structural edge from rank alone. Strategy choice should follow event calendar, dealer positioning, and the directional thesis. Compared with 60-day realized HV of 35.0%, current ATM IV is 273.1 vol points rich.

Trading vol on ICFI: practical notes

The variance risk premium - the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility - is positive on equity-market averages, which is why premium-selling carries a long-run edge. But the edge is averaged across a distribution; individual realizations can blow past the implied move in either direction. ICFI front-month expiration sits at 16 days; near-dated structures get the highest theta decay but also the largest gamma sensitivity, so the same vol-rank read translates into very different structures at 7 DTE vs 45 DTE. Pair the rank read with the dealer-gamma view, the term-structure shape, and the upcoming-event calendar to confirm the trade fits both the structural regime and the path-dependent risk. Risk-defined structures (credit/debit spreads, condors, butterflies) are usually safer than naked positions when the regime is uncertain.

ICFI volatility surface: linking strikes to tenors

The skew-by-strike chart higher up and the term-structure-by-DTE chart together describe the ICFI implied-volatility surface - the two-dimensional grid of IV across strike and expiration that determines every option premium on the chain. Currently the 25-delta skew is 0.012 and the term-structure slope is -0.034, a combination that is a mixed-signal regime where the strike and tenor dimensions are not pricing risk in the same direction, often a transition state between regimes. Term structure tells you when the market expects the action; skew tells you which direction. Combined with the 62.7% IV rank, the surface gives a complete read on whether ICFI options are cheap, fair, or expensive across both dimensions. Practitioners watch surface dynamics (skew steepening, term-structure inversion) alongside level (IV rank) - level moves are common but surface shape changes typically signal regime-level shifts in how the chain is being positioned.

For ICFI specifically, the surface read fits into a broader options-trading toolkit. Single-leg directional positions (long calls or puts) depend almost entirely on level: cheap IV at any skew/term shape favors buyers, rich IV favors sellers. Risk-defined spreads (vertical credit/debit spreads, iron condors, butterflies) depend on both level and skew: put-skewed surfaces make put-side credit spreads collect more premium per width than call-side, and the asymmetry can compound or offset the directional thesis. Calendar and diagonal spreads depend on term shape: contango makes long-back-month / short-front-month structures cheaper to put on but harder to harvest theta from quickly. Pair the surface read with the dealer-gamma view, the upcoming-event calendar, and the underlying-trend context to choose the strike, the tenor, and the structure family that match both the regime and the conviction level.

Learn how volatility skew is reported and how to read the data →

ICFI ATM implied volatility by days-to-expiration, sourced from option_term_structureICFI ATM Implied Volatility Term Structure36%37%38%39%40%20d40d60d80d100d120d140d160dDays to ExpirationATM Implied Volatility
ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Front-month points sit at the left; longer-dated tenors extend right. Upward-sloping curves indicate contango (calmer near-term, more uncertainty further out); downward-sloping indicates backwardation (acute near-term stress).

Frequently asked ICFI volatility skew questions

What is the current ICFI ATM implied volatility?
As of Sep 30, 2026, ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) at-the-money implied volatility is 308.1%. IV rank is 62.7% on a 0-100% scale anchored to the 1-year IV range. ATM IV is the volatility input that makes a Black-Scholes-equivalent model reproduce the listed at-the-money option prices.
Is ICFI IV high or low historically?
IV is near its 1-year median, a regime where strategy choice depends on directional conviction and event calendar rather than vol regime.
What does ICFI volatility skew tell options traders?
Volatility skew is the pattern by which IV varies across strikes for a given expiration. ICF International, Inc. skew is roughly flat across the 25-delta wings. Skew matters for risk-defined strategy selection: when downside puts are rich, put-credit spreads capture more premium; when upside calls are rich, call-credit spreads or covered-call writes harvest more.