GPRE Iron Condor Strategy
GPRE (Green Plains Inc.), in the Basic Materials sector, (Chemicals - Specialty industry), listed on NASDAQ.
Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Ethanol Production, Agribusiness and Energy Services, and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces and sells ethanol, including industrial-grade alcohol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement, handling, and storage activities; and commodity marketing business, which purchases, markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and corn oil, as well as grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. This segment also provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The Partnership segment offers fuel storage and transportation services.
GPRE (Green Plains Inc.) trades in the Basic Materials sector, specifically Chemicals - Specialty, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.18B, a beta of 1.24 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 3.97-18.94, average daily share volume of 1.6M, a public-listing history dating back to 2006, approximately 923 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how GPRE stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.24 places GPRE roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline.
What is a iron condor on GPRE?
An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes.
Current GPRE snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $16.96, ATM IV 64.60%, IV rank 11.43%, expected move 18.52%. The iron condor on GPRE below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this iron condor structure on GPRE specifically: GPRE IV at 64.60% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which means a premium-selling GPRE iron condor collects less credit per unit of strike-width risk, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 18.52% (roughly $3.14 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated GPRE expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on GPRE should anchor to the underlying notional of $16.96 per share and to the trader's directional view on GPRE stock.
GPRE iron condor setup
The GPRE iron condor below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With GPRE near $16.96, the first option leg uses a $18.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed GPRE chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 GPRE shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sell 1 | Call | $18.00 | $0.90 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $19.00 | $0.70 |
| Sell 1 | Put | $16.00 | $0.88 |
| Buy 1 | Put | $15.00 | $0.55 |
GPRE iron condor risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- +$52.50
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $52.50
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$47.50
- Breakeven(s)
- $15.48, $18.53
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 1.105
Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit.
GPRE iron condor payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the iron condor on GPRE. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -99.9% | -$47.50 |
| $3.76 | -77.8% | -$47.50 |
| $7.51 | -55.7% | -$47.50 |
| $11.26 | -33.6% | -$47.50 |
| $15.01 | -11.5% | -$46.96 |
| $18.75 | +10.6% | -$22.92 |
| $22.50 | +32.7% | -$47.50 |
| $26.25 | +54.8% | -$47.50 |
| $30.00 | +76.9% | -$47.50 |
| $33.75 | +99.0% | -$47.50 |
When traders use iron condor on GPRE
Iron condors on GPRE are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if GPRE stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
GPRE thesis for this iron condor
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for GPRE extends from approximately $13.82 on the downside to $20.10 on the upside. A GPRE iron condor is a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that pays off when GPRE stays inside the inner short strikes through expiration; the wing width should reflect the trader's tolerance for the maximum loss scenario where the underlying breaches an outer strike. Current GPRE IV rank near 11.43% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on GPRE at 64.60%. As a Basic Materials name, GPRE options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to GPRE-specific events.
GPRE iron condor positions are structurally neutral / range-bound; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. GPRE positions also carry Basic Materials sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move GPRE alongside the broader basket even when GPRE-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Short-premium structures like a iron condor on GPRE carry tail risk when realized volatility exceeds the implied move; review historical GPRE earnings reactions and macro stress periods before sizing. Always rebuild the position from current GPRE chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a iron condor on GPRE?
- A iron condor on GPRE is the iron condor strategy applied to GPRE (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / range-bound: An iron condor sells a call spread and a put spread at strikes outside spot, collecting net premium that is kept if the underlying stays inside the inner short strikes. With GPRE stock trading near $16.96, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed GPRE chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are GPRE iron condor max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the net credit times 100 inside the inner strikes; max loss equals wing width minus credit times 100. Two breakevens at inner strikes plus and minus the credit. For the GPRE iron condor priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 64.60%), the computed maximum profit is $52.50 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$47.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a GPRE iron condor?
- The breakeven for the GPRE iron condor priced on this page is roughly $15.48 and $18.53 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current GPRE market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 18.52%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a iron condor on GPRE?
- Iron condors on GPRE are a delta-neutral premium-collection structure that profits if GPRE stock stays inside the inner short strikes; short strikes typically sit near 1 standard deviation from spot.
- How does current GPRE implied volatility affect this iron condor?
- GPRE ATM IV is at 64.60% with IV rank near 11.43%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.