FWRG Analyst Ratings
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Restaurants industry, with a market capitalization near $730.1M, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 18,000 people, carrying a beta of 1.05 to the broader market. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Led by Christopher A. Tomasso, public since 2021-10-01.
Analyst Ratings
In the October 2026 monthly count, 10 analysts rated FWRG: 0 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell.
Twelve months earlier, in October 2025: 11 analysts, 2 Strong Buy, 8 Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell.
Price Targets
- Average Target
- $15.67
- Median Target
- $15.00
- High
- $18.00
- Low
- $14.00
- Targets Published, Last 12 Months
- 5
Recent Price Targets
The 5 most recent of 5 price targets published in the last 12 months.
| Date | Firm | Analyst | Target | Price When Posted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Stephens | Not named | $18.00 | $11.83 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | D.A. Davidson | Matt Curtis | $15.00 | $10.28 |
| May 5, 2026 | Stifel Nicolaus | Chris O'Cull | $14.00 | $12.18 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Brian Mullan | $19.00 | $12.32 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Barclays | Not named | $19.00 | $15.90 |
Recent Upgrades & Downgrades
| Date | Firm | Action | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Stephens & Co. | maintain | Overweight | Overweight |
| Oct 2, 2026 | DA Davidson | maintain | Buy | Buy |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Guggenheim | maintain | Buy | Buy |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Citigroup | maintain | Buy | Buy |
| Jun 3, 2026 | TD Cowen | maintain | Buy | Buy |
Quantitative Rating
FWRG carries a model grade of C (overall score 2 of 5), computed from six valuation and financial measures (discounted cash flow, return on equity, return on assets, debt to equity, price to earnings and price to book), each scored 1 to 5. It is not an analyst rating.
How to Read FWRG Analyst Coverage
Sell-side equity analysts publish three primary outputs: ratings (Strong Buy / Buy / Hold / Sell / Strong Sell, or firm-specific equivalents), price targets, and EPS / revenue estimate revisions. Rating consensus moves slowly relative to price; it reflects 12-month directional conviction rather than near-term momentum. Price targets are more responsive but typically drift behind realized price during sharp moves. The most actionable signal for options traders is a cluster of ratings actions across multiple firms within a short window, which compresses or expands implied volatility on a horizon of days to weeks and shifts the put-call skew toward the directional consensus. The recent-actions table above shows the five most recent firm-level changes; longer histories live behind aggregator sources.
For event-driven options sizing, pair the consensus rating and target distribution with the implied-volatility surface and dealer-positioning view. Aggressive target hikes from multiple firms tend to tighten put skew (downside protection becomes relatively cheaper); aggressive cuts widen put skew. The size of the IV response in the hours after a rating change is visible on the per-ticker volatility skew page and the gamma-exposure page, both of which show how dealer hedging propagates the analyst-driven flow into the listed options chain.
Learn how analyst ratings is reported and how to read the data →
Frequently asked FWRG analyst ratings questions
- What is the FWRG consensus price target?
- As of the latest aggregator update, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) carries a consensus 12-month price target of $15.67. Target ranges run from a low of $14.00 to a high of $18.00. The target is the average of the price targets published by sell-side equity analysts covering the name.
- What is the analyst rating consensus on FWRG?
- In the October 2026 monthly count, 10 analysts rated FWRG, and the distribution tilts to the Buy side: 0 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell. Rating consensus moves slowly relative to price; it reflects sell-side conviction over a 12-month horizon rather than near-term momentum.
- What recent ratings actions has FWRG seen?
- The five most recent ratings actions on FWRG appear on the page above. Sell-side rating changes are watched for two reasons: an upgrade or downgrade with a meaningful target revision moves the consensus and can trigger short-term positioning shifts, and the firm-level rating cluster (multiple firms moving in the same direction within a short window) is a clearer signal than any single action. Options markets often price the implied-vol response within minutes of the announcement.
- How do analyst targets affect FWRG options pricing?
- Analyst target revisions tend to be priced in by the lit options market within minutes of publication, but persistent target drift over weeks does correlate with implied-volatility movement. Aggressive target hikes from multiple firms inside a single quarter tighten put skew (downside protection becomes cheaper relative to upside speculation); aggressive cuts widen put skew. The most actionable read is the implied-vol response in the hours after a target change, which is visible on the per-ticker volatility skew page.