Presidio Production Company (FTW) Expected Move

Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.

Presidio Production Company (FTW) operates in the Energy sector, specifically the Shell Companies industry, with a market capitalization near $492.5M, listed on NYSE, carrying a beta of 0.02 to the broader market. EQV Ventures Acquisition Corp. Led by William Ulrich, public since 2024-09-27.

Snapshot as of May 14, 2026.

Spot Price
$11.23
Expected Move
40.8%
Implied High
$15.81
Implied Low
$6.65
Front DTE
35 days

As of May 14, 2026, Presidio Production Company (FTW) has an expected move of 40.77%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $6.65 to $15.81 from the current $11.23. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.

FTW Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move

With Presidio Production Company pricing an expected move of 40.77% from $11.23, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.

Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →

Per-expiration expected move for FTW derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $11.23 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.

ExpirationDTEATM IVExpected MoveImplied HighImplied Low
May 15, 2026122.4%1.2%$11.36$11.10
Jun 18, 202635142.2%44.0%$16.18$6.28
Jul 17, 20266498.9%41.4%$15.88$6.58
Oct 16, 202615560.9%39.7%$15.69$6.77
Jan 15, 202724677.4%63.5%$18.37$4.09