FROG Butterfly Strategy
FROG (JFrog Ltd.), in the Technology sector, (Software - Application industry), listed on NASDAQ.
JFrog Ltd. provides DevOps platform in the United States. The company's products include JFrog Artifactory, a package repository that allows teams and organizations to store, update, and manage their software packages at any scale; JFrog Pipelines, an integration/continuous delivery tool for automating and orchestrating the movement of software packages; JFrog Xray, which scan JFrog Artifactory; and JFrog Distribution that provides software package distribution with enterprise-grade performance. Its products include JFrog Artifactory Edge that utilizes and leverages metadata from JFrog Artifactory to facilitate the transfer of the incremental changes in software packages from their previous versions; JFrog Mission Control, a platform control panel that provides a view of moving pieces of an organization's software supply chain workflow; JFrog Insight, a DevOps intelligence tool; and JFrog Connect, a device management solution that allows companies to manage software updates and monitor performance across IoT device fleets from anywhere in the world. The company's products also comprise JFrog Pro, JFrog Pro Team, JFrog Pro X, JFrog Enterprise, JFrog Enterprise X, and JFrog Enterprise Plus products that offer ongoing updates, upgrades, and bug fixes, as well as cluster configuration, multi-site replication, and SLA support. It serves technology, financial services, retail, healthcare, and telecommunications organizations. JFrog Ltd. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
FROG (JFrog Ltd.) trades in the Technology sector, specifically Software - Application, with a market capitalization of approximately $7.77B, a beta of 1.02 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 34.05-72.06, average daily share volume of 3.5M, a public-listing history dating back to 2020, approximately 2K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how FROG stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.02 places FROG roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline.
What is a butterfly on FROG?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current FROG snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $65.97, ATM IV 61.30%, IV rank 25.90%, expected move 17.57%. The butterfly on FROG below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on FROG specifically: FROG IV at 61.30% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a FROG butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 17.57% (roughly $11.59 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated FROG expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on FROG should anchor to the underlying notional of $65.97 per share and to the trader's directional view on FROG stock.
FROG butterfly setup
The FROG butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With FROG near $65.97, the first option leg uses a $62.50 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed FROG chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 FROG shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $62.50 | $7.30 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $65.00 | $5.75 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $70.00 | $3.30 |
FROG butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- +$90.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $338.06
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$160.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $68.40
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 2.113
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
FROG butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on FROG. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | +$90.00 |
| $14.60 | -77.9% | +$90.00 |
| $29.18 | -55.8% | +$90.00 |
| $43.77 | -33.7% | +$90.00 |
| $58.35 | -11.5% | +$90.00 |
| $72.94 | +10.6% | -$160.00 |
| $87.52 | +32.7% | -$160.00 |
| $102.11 | +54.8% | -$160.00 |
| $116.69 | +76.9% | -$160.00 |
| $131.28 | +99.0% | -$160.00 |
When traders use butterfly on FROG
Butterflies on FROG are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect FROG to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
FROG thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for FROG extends from approximately $54.38 on the downside to $77.56 on the upside. A FROG long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if FROG settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current FROG IV rank near 25.90% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on FROG at 61.30%. As a Technology name, FROG options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to FROG-specific events.
FROG butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. FROG positions also carry Technology sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move FROG alongside the broader basket even when FROG-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current FROG chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on FROG?
- A butterfly on FROG is the butterfly strategy applied to FROG (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With FROG stock trading near $65.97, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed FROG chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are FROG butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the FROG butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 61.30%), the computed maximum profit is $338.06 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$160.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a FROG butterfly?
- The breakeven for the FROG butterfly priced on this page is roughly $68.40 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current FROG market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 17.57%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on FROG?
- Butterflies on FROG are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect FROG to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current FROG implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- FROG ATM IV is at 61.30% with IV rank near 25.90%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.