FLY Butterfly Strategy

FLY (Firefly Aerospace Inc.), in the Industrials sector, (Aerospace & Defense industry), listed on NASDAQ.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. is an innovative aerospace and defense technology firm that provides advanced mission capabilities for a wide range of clients, including national security initiatives, governmental bodies, and commercial ventures. The company specializes in integrated technologies for space launches and in-orbit operations, designed to facilitate efficient access, transit, and ongoing activities within the space environment. Its suite of key offerings includes: Alpha, a rapid-response small launch vehicle; Eclipse, a robust medium-lift launch system; Blue Ghost, which provides lunar payload delivery and surface operations; Elytra, offering in-space maneuverability and satellite servicing; and Ocula, a dedicated lunar imaging service. Established in 2017, the company is based in Cedar Park, Texas.

FLY (Firefly Aerospace Inc.) trades in the Industrials sector, specifically Aerospace & Defense, with a market capitalization of approximately $4.36B, a beta of 0.69 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 16-62.17, average daily share volume of 6.6M, a public-listing history dating back to 2025, approximately 1K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how FLY stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 0.69 indicates FLY has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure.

What is a butterfly on FLY?

A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.

FLY snapshot

As of August 14, 2026, spot at $26.56, ATM IV 91.60%, IV rank 61.27%, expected move 26.26%. The butterfly on FLY below is built from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 28-day expiry.

Why this butterfly structure on FLY specifically: FLY IV at 91.60% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 26.26% (roughly $6.97 on the underlying). The 28-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated FLY expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on FLY should anchor to the underlying notional of $26.56 per share and to the trader's directional view on FLY stock.

FLY butterfly setup

The FLY butterfly below is built from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With FLY at $26.56 on that close, the first option leg uses a $25.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed FLY chain at a 28-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 FLY shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

ActionTypeStrike / BasisPremium (est)
Buy 1Call$25.00$3.45
Sell 2Call$27.00$2.53
Buy 1Call$28.00$2.13

FLY butterfly risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit
-$52.50
Max Profit (per contract)
$144.03
Max Loss (per contract)
-$52.50
Breakeven(s)
$25.53
Risk / Reward Ratio
2.743

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.

FLY butterfly payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on FLY. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

FLY butterfly profit and loss curve at expiration with breakevens and current spot markedFLY butterfly payoff at expiration-$50$0$50$100$10$20$30$40$50Underlying Price ($)P&L at Expiration ($)BE $25.52Spot $26.56
P&L at expiration across the modeled underlying-price range. Green shading marks profitable regions, red shading marks loss regions. Dotted purple verticals mark breakevens; the solid dark vertical marks current spot.
Underlying Price% From SpotP&L at Expiration
$0.01-100.0%-$52.50
$5.88-77.9%-$52.50
$11.75-55.7%-$52.50
$17.62-33.6%-$52.50
$23.50-11.5%-$52.50
$29.37+10.6%+$47.50
$35.24+32.7%+$47.50
$41.11+54.8%+$47.50
$46.98+76.9%+$47.50
$52.85+99.0%+$47.50

When traders use butterfly on FLY

Butterflies on FLY are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect FLY to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.

FLY thesis for this butterfly

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for FLY extends from approximately $19.59 on the downside to $33.53 on the upside. A FLY long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if FLY settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current FLY IV rank near 61.27% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on FLY should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Industrials name, FLY options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to FLY-specific events.

FLY butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. FLY positions also carry Industrials sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move FLY alongside the broader basket even when FLY-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current FLY chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a butterfly on FLY?
A butterfly on FLY is the butterfly strategy applied to FLY (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With FLY stock at $26.56 on the August 14, 2026 close, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed FLY chain strike and the premiums come straight from that session's bid/ask midpoint.
How are FLY butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the FLY butterfly priced from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 91.60%), the computed maximum profit is $144.03 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$52.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a FLY butterfly?
The breakeven for the FLY butterfly priced on this page is roughly $25.53 at expiration, derived from the August 14, 2026 end-of-day chain's premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The FLY market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move in the same options snapshot is approximately 26.26%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a butterfly on FLY?
Butterflies on FLY are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect FLY to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
How does current FLY implied volatility affect this butterfly?
FLY ATM IV is at 91.60% with IV rank near 61.27%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.

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