FERG Butterfly Strategy
FERG (Ferguson plc), in the Industrials sector, (Industrial - Distribution industry), listed on NYSE.
Ferguson plc distributes plumbing and heating products in the United States and Canada. It offers plumbing and heating solutions to customers in the residential, commercial, civil/infrastructure, and industrial end markets. The company also distributes pipes, valves, fittings, plumbing supplies, water heaters, kitchen and bathroom fixtures, and appliances; heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products and supplies; and plumbing parts and supplies, fire sprinkler systems, hangers, struts, and fasteners. In addition, it distributes water meters and automation products, irrigation and drainage products, geosynthetics, and stormwater management products; flanges, general industrial maintenance repair and operations products, high density polyethylene products, and fabrication products; water and wastewater treatment products; and PVF solutions. Further, the company offers services, including consultation, advice and project management, pro pick-up, and delivery services; online tools; quotation, jobsite delivery and logistics, project management, and fabrication services; digitally enhanced estimation, and design services; advanced metering infrastructure services; and supply chain and equipment rental services. The company also sells its products through online channels.
FERG (Ferguson plc) trades in the Industrials sector, specifically Industrial - Distribution, with a market capitalization of approximately $45.31B, a trailing P/E of 21.93, a beta of 1.20 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 175.57-271.64, average daily share volume of 1.4M, a public-listing history dating back to 2010, approximately 35K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how FERG stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.20 places FERG roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline. FERG pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.
What is a butterfly on FERG?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current FERG snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $224.76, ATM IV 32.40%, IV rank 35.02%, expected move 9.29%. The butterfly on FERG below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on FERG specifically: FERG IV at 32.40% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 9.29% (roughly $20.88 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated FERG expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on FERG should anchor to the underlying notional of $224.76 per share and to the trader's directional view on FERG stock.
FERG butterfly setup
The FERG butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With FERG near $224.76, the first option leg uses a $210.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed FERG chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 FERG shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $210.00 | $19.30 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $220.00 | $11.75 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $240.00 | $3.65 |
FERG butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- +$55.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $966.79
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$945.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $230.55
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 1.023
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
FERG butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on FERG. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -100.0% | +$55.00 |
| $49.70 | -77.9% | +$55.00 |
| $99.40 | -55.8% | +$55.00 |
| $149.09 | -33.7% | +$55.00 |
| $198.79 | -11.6% | +$55.00 |
| $248.48 | +10.6% | -$945.00 |
| $298.18 | +32.7% | -$945.00 |
| $347.87 | +54.8% | -$945.00 |
| $397.57 | +76.9% | -$945.00 |
| $447.26 | +99.0% | -$945.00 |
When traders use butterfly on FERG
Butterflies on FERG are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect FERG to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
FERG thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for FERG extends from approximately $203.88 on the downside to $245.64 on the upside. A FERG long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if FERG settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current FERG IV rank near 35.02% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on FERG should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Industrials name, FERG options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to FERG-specific events.
FERG butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. FERG positions also carry Industrials sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move FERG alongside the broader basket even when FERG-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current FERG chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on FERG?
- A butterfly on FERG is the butterfly strategy applied to FERG (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With FERG stock trading near $224.76, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed FERG chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are FERG butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the FERG butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 32.40%), the computed maximum profit is $966.79 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$945.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a FERG butterfly?
- The breakeven for the FERG butterfly priced on this page is roughly $230.55 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current FERG market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 9.29%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on FERG?
- Butterflies on FERG are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect FERG to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current FERG implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- FERG ATM IV is at 32.40% with IV rank near 35.02%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.