Is ESLT options pricing rich or cheap right now?

As of Jun 30, 2026, Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) ATM IV is 39.9% against 20-day realized volatility of 54.8%. IV rank is 18.4%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.

What is the ESLT variance risk premium?

The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. ESLT is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.

What does ESLT IV rank mean for strategy selection?

IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. ESLT's current rank of 18.4% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.

Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) IV/HV History

Comparing implied volatility to historical (realized) volatility reveals whether options are priced rich or cheap relative to actual price movement. Persistent gaps can signal trading opportunities.

Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) operates in the Industrials sector, specifically the Aerospace & Defense industry, with a market capitalization near $33.53B, listed on NASDAQ, employing roughly 19,712 people, carrying a beta of -0.25 to the broader market. Headquartered in Haifa, Israel, and established in 1966, Elbit Systems Ltd. Led by Bezhalel Machlis, public since 1996-11-27.

Snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.

Spot Price: $756.00
ATM IV: 39.9%
HV 20-Day: 54.8%
HV 60-Day: 46.8%
IV Rank: 18.4%
IV Percentile: 47.6%

As of Jun 30, 2026, Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) ATM implied volatility is 39.9%. 20-day realized volatility is 54.8%, producing an IV-HV spread of -14.9 vol points. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied, an inversion that can signal a pending IV expansion. IV rank is 18.4%.

How ESLT iv/hv history Data Feeds Strategy Selection

Strategy selection on Elbit Systems Ltd. options does not derive from any single metric in isolation. The iv/hv history view above sits inside a broader read: ATM IV currently sits at 39.9% and dealer gamma exposure is positive, so dealer hedging is mechanically mean-reverting. Combine the iv/hv history data here with the volatility-skew surface, dealer-gamma exposure, max-pain level, and upcoming-events calendar to build a positioning thesis. Risk-defined structures (credit spreads, debit spreads, iron condors) are usually safer than naked positions while the regime is uncertain; the data on this page anchors the inputs but does not by itself constitute a trade thesis.

How to read the ESLT IV vs HV chart

The dual-line chart above tracks ATM implied volatility (forward-looking, what the chain is pricing) against 20-day realized historical volatility (backward-looking, what actually happened). ATM IV currently prints at 39.9%, 18.4% IV rank, against 54.8% realized over the trailing 20 trading days. Implied is currently below realized by 14.9 vol points, an inverted regime where premium buyers are underpaying for the move - rare and often a setup for IV expansion. Persistent IV-above-HV is the variance-risk-premium-positive state typical of equity markets; persistent IV-below-HV is rare and usually marks underpriced vol that often expands.

ESLT IV/HV regimes and trade selection

ESLT sits in the bottom quartile of its 1-year IV range. Low-IV-rank regimes favor premium-buying or long-vol structures - long calls/puts, debit spreads, calendar spreads, long straddles. The risk: low rank can persist for months while theta decay eats premium-buyers alive without a vol-expansion catalyst.

Using ESLT vol history alongside the term structure

The IV/HV gap on this page captures the level of premium; the term-structure slope on the volatility page captures its shape across expirations. Contango (positive slope 0.065) is the resting state - longer-dated IV trades above near-dated IV because long-dated cycles include uncertain macro states. Pair the rank read with the slope read with the event calendar to choose the right tenor for the structure.

ESLT IV/HV signal in volatility-cycle context

Equity-vol cycles tend to compress and expand on multi-month timeframes: a typical sequence runs low-IV-rank consolidation (months of flat tape, decaying premium) into a vol-expansion catalyst (earnings miss, macro shock, regime change) into elevated-IV-rank stress (premiums fat, dispersion high) back to mean-reverting compression. ESLT's current 18.4% IV rank places the ticker in the compression phase of that cycle. Compression phases are profitable for theta-harvesting structures but tend to end with abrupt vol-expansion regimes that hit short-vol books fast. The ratio of HV-20 (54.8%) to HV-60 (46.8%) gives a second cycle indicator: when 20-day exceeds 60-day, recent realization is running hotter than the trailing-quarter average - typically a sign that recent days have already started expanding vol regardless of where IV rank prints. Use the time series above to spot inflection points: meaningful IV/HV gap closures and openings tend to precede regime shifts by a few sessions.

Learn how implied vs realized volatility is reported and how to read the data →

Daily ATM implied volatility and 20-day realized (historical) volatility for ESLT over the last ~41 trading days. The IV-HV gap measures the variance risk premium - when IV trades persistently above realized HV, premium-sellers earn the spread; when IV dips below HV, vol is structurally underpriced.

Daily values from end-of-day option_ticker_snapshots. Series sparse on illiquid tickers reflects gaps in the upstream end-of-day options data feed.

Most recent 15 trading days (descending). Older history appears in the chart above.

Date	ATM IV	HV 20d	HV 60d	IV Rank
Jun 30, 2026	39.9%	54.8%	46.8%	18.4%
Jun 29, 2026	40.0%	52.6%	46.2%	18.6%
Jun 26, 2026	38.7%	51.3%	47.3%	16.8%
Jun 25, 2026	39.7%	60.3%	47.7%	18.2%
Jun 24, 2026	42.0%	59.5%	49.0%	21.3%
Jun 23, 2026	43.8%	67.3%	48.9%	23.8%
Jun 22, 2026	46.0%	67.3%	49.1%	26.8%
Jun 18, 2026	45.3%	67.0%	49.1%	25.8%
Jun 17, 2026	43.8%	65.9%	48.7%	23.8%
Jun 16, 2026	44.3%	66.0%	48.9%	24.4%
Jun 15, 2026	44.8%	66.0%	49.3%	25.1%
Jun 12, 2026	45.7%	64.8%	49.5%	26.4%
Jun 11, 2026	46.7%	60.0%	55.2%	27.7%
Jun 10, 2026	47.5%	49.3%	50.8%	28.8%
Jun 9, 2026	47.7%	49.0%	50.8%	29.1%

Frequently asked ESLT iv/hv history questions

Is ESLT options pricing rich or cheap right now?: As of Jun 30, 2026, Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) ATM IV is 39.9% against 20-day realized volatility of 54.8%. IV rank is 18.4%. Realized volatility currently exceeds implied: an inversion of the typical equity volatility risk premium that often precedes IV expansion.
What is the ESLT variance risk premium?: The variance risk premium is the persistent gap between implied and subsequently realized volatility. In equity markets it averages positive because option sellers demand compensation for bearing variance shocks. ESLT is currently pricing inverted to the historical pattern, which is one input to whether short-vol or long-vol structures carry their typical edge.
What does ESLT IV rank mean for strategy selection?: IV rank normalizes the current ATM IV to its 1-year range: 0% is the low, 100% is the high. ESLT's current rank of 18.4% signals where current pricing sits in its own 1-year history. High-rank regimes typically favor premium-selling structures (credit spreads, condors, covered calls); low-rank regimes typically favor premium-buying or long-volatility structures.