What is the current E expected move?

As of Oct 14, 2026, Eni S.p.A. (E) has an expected move of 10.18% over the next 37 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $51.89 to $63.65 from the current $57.77. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.

What does the E expected move mean for traders?

Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.

How is E expected move calculated?

The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.

Eni S.p.A. (E) Expected Move

Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.

Eni S.p.A. (E) operates in the Energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas Integrated industry, with a market capitalization near $83.23B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 32,349 people, carrying a beta of 0.23 to the broader market. Eni S. Led by Claudio Descalzi, public since 1995-11-28.

Snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026.

Spot Price: $57.77
Expected Move: 10.2%
Implied High: $63.65
Implied Low: $51.89
Front DTE: 37 days

As of Oct 14, 2026, Eni S.p.A. (E) has an expected move of 10.18%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $51.89 to $63.65 from the current $57.77. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.

E Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move

With Eni S.p.A. pricing an expected move of 10.18% from $57.77, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.

How to read the E implied-range chart

The shaded range below shows the one-standard-deviation implied price band at each listed expiration, derived from ATM implied volatility scaled to days-to-expiration. The front-tenor expected move is 10.18%, anchoring an implied range of approximately $51.89 to $63.65. Under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside that band; 95% fall inside ±2σ; 99.7% inside ±3σ. The empirical equity-return distribution has fatter tails than lognormal, so true tail-outcome frequency is moderately higher than these closed-form numbers suggest.

E expected move and event pricing

Expected move widens with √time: a 5% 30-day move corresponds to roughly a 2.5% 7.5-day move and a 10% 120-day move. E term-structure is in backwardation (slope -0.046), so near-dated tenors price in disproportionate vol - usually because of a known event in the front-month window. With IV rank at 4.9%, the implied move is at the low end of the typical E range - cheap optionality for buyers, thin premium for sellers.

Sizing E structures to the expected move

Iron condors with wings at ±1σ collect the modal-outcome premium; ±1.5σ widens probability of inside-range to ~87% but cuts collected premium roughly in half. Strangles do the inverse trade - they pay against the same lognormal distribution, profiting when realized exceeds implied. Calendar spreads bet on the slope of the term structure rather than the level. E put/call volume ratio currently at 0.00 indicates speculative call flow dominates - look for upside-skewed sentiment. The expected move is the inputs the chain is pricing, not a forecast - realized moves above or below are normal under any distribution.

Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →

Shaded band shows the ±1σ implied price range (~68% probability under lognormal assumptions) at each expiration; the center line marks current spot. Bands widen with longer DTE since volatility scales with √time.

Per-expiration expected move for E derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $57.77 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.

Expiration	DTE	ATM IV	Expected Move	Implied High	Implied Low
Oct 16, 2026	2	78.4%	5.8%	$61.12	$54.42
Nov 20, 2026	37	35.5%	11.3%	$64.30	$51.24
Dec 18, 2026	65	30.9%	13.0%	$65.30	$50.24
Jan 15, 2027	93	28.4%	14.3%	$66.05	$49.49
Feb 19, 2027	128	27.4%	16.2%	$67.14	$48.40
Apr 16, 2027	184	27.4%	19.5%	$69.01	$46.53
May 21, 2027	219	25.4%	19.7%	$69.14	$46.40
Jul 16, 2027	275	25.1%	21.8%	$70.36	$45.18
Sep 17, 2027	338	25.2%	24.3%	$71.78	$43.76

Frequently asked E expected move questions

What is the current E expected move?: As of Oct 14, 2026, Eni S.p.A. (E) has an expected move of 10.18% over the next 37 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $51.89 to $63.65 from the current $57.77. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
What does the E expected move mean for traders?: Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
How is E expected move calculated?: The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.