Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Expected Move
Expected move estimates the probable price range for a given period based on at-the-money options pricing. It reflects the market consensus for volatility over the selected timeframe.
Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) operates in the Utilities sector, specifically the Regulated Electric industry, with a market capitalization near $55.16B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 14,700 people, carrying a beta of 0.64 to the broader market. Dominion Energy, Inc. Led by Robert Blue, public since 1980-03-17.
Snapshot as of May 15, 2026.
- Spot Price
- $61.87
- Expected Move
- 5.8%
- Implied High
- $65.47
- Implied Low
- $58.27
- Front DTE
- 34 days
As of May 15, 2026, Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) has an expected move of 5.82%, a one-standard-deviation implied price range of roughly $58.27 to $65.47 from the current $61.87. Expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market's pricing of a ±1σ move. Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within this range under lognormal assumptions, though empirical markets have fatter tails.
D Strategy Sizing to the Expected Move
With Dominion Energy, Inc. pricing an expected move of 5.82% from $61.87, risk-defined strategies sized to the implied range structurally target the modal outcome distribution. Iron condors with wings at the ±1σ expected move boundaries collect premium against the ~68% probability that spot stays inside the range under lognormal assumptions; strangles set wider at ±1.5σ or ±2σ target the tails but pay smaller per-trade premium. Long-vol structures (long straddles, ratio backspreads) profit when realized move exceeds the implied move, the inverse trade: they bet against the lognormal assumption itself, capitalizing on the empirically fatter equity-return tails.
Learn how expected move is reported and how to read the data →
Per-expiration expected move for D derived from ATM implied volatility at each listed expiration. Implied high/low bounds are computed as $61.87 × (1 ± expected move %). One standard-deviation range under lognormal assumptions, roughly 68% of outcomes fall inside.
| Expiration | DTE | ATM IV | Expected Move | Implied High | Implied Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | 34 | 20.3% | 6.2% | $65.70 | $58.04 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 63 | 20.1% | 8.4% | $67.04 | $56.70 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 126 | 21.1% | 12.4% | $69.54 | $54.20 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 154 | 21.0% | 13.6% | $70.31 | $53.43 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 217 | 22.5% | 17.3% | $72.60 | $51.14 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 245 | 22.1% | 18.1% | $73.07 | $50.67 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 308 | 22.7% | 20.9% | $74.77 | $48.97 |
| Jan 21, 2028 | 616 | 25.0% | 32.5% | $81.96 | $41.78 |
Frequently asked D expected move questions
- What is the current D expected move?
- As of May 15, 2026, Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) has an expected move of 5.82% over the next 34 days, implying a one-standard-deviation price range of $58.27 to $65.47 from the current $61.87. The expected move is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing and represents the market consensus for a ±1σ price move.
- What does the D expected move mean for traders?
- Roughly 68% of outcomes should fall within ±1 expected move and 95% within ±2 under lognormal assumptions, though equity returns have empirically fatter tails than log-normal predicts. Strategies sized to the expected move (iron condors at ±1σ, strangles at ±1.5σ) target the typical outcome distribution; strategies that profit from tail moves (long-vol structures, ratio backspreads) target the tails the lognormal model under-prices.
- How is D expected move calculated?
- The expected move displayed here is derived from at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the chosen tenor: expected move % is approximately ATM IV times sqrt(T / 365), where T is days to expiration. An equivalent straddle-based form: the ATM straddle (call + put at the same strike) is roughly sqrt(2/pi) times spot times IV times sqrt(T/365), so the implied one-standard-deviation move is approximately 1.25 times ATM straddle divided by spot. The two formulations agree once the sqrt(2/pi) constant is reconciled.