CTGO Butterfly Strategy
CTGO (Contango Ore, Inc.), in the Basic Materials sector, (Gold industry), listed on AMEX.
Contango Ore, Inc. operates as an exploration-phase enterprise, primarily dedicated to prospecting for gold and other associated minerals across the United States. Its discovery efforts also extend to identifying deposits of copper and silver. Through its various subsidiaries, the company has secured substantial land access for its exploration and development activities. This includes the lease of approximately 675,000 acres from the Tetlin Tribal Council, as well as around 13,000 State of Alaska mining claims. Additionally, Contango Ore holds full mineral rights to an estimated 200,000 acres of State of Alaska mining claims situated north and northwest of the Tetlin Lease. The company's portfolio also features an interest in the Shamrock property, which encompasses 361 Alaska state mining claims spanning approximately 52,640 acres.
CTGO (Contango Ore, Inc.) trades in the Basic Materials sector, specifically Gold, with a market capitalization of approximately $633.9M, a beta of -0.02 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 14.5-34.38, average daily share volume of 519K, a public-listing history dating back to 2010, approximately 15 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how CTGO stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of -0.02 indicates CTGO has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure.
What is a butterfly on CTGO?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
CTGO snapshot
As of August 14, 2026, spot at $20.09, ATM IV 57.50%, IV rank 7.30%, expected move 16.48%. The butterfly on CTGO below is built from the end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 35-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on CTGO specifically: CTGO IV at 57.50% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a CTGO butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 16.48% (roughly $3.31 on the underlying). The 35-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated CTGO expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on CTGO should anchor to the underlying notional of $20.09 per share and to the trader's directional view on CTGO stock.
CTGO butterfly setup
The CTGO butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With CTGO at $20.09 on that close, the first option leg uses a $19.09 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed CTGO chain at a 35-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 CTGO shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $19.09 | N/A |
| Sell 2 | Call | $20.09 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $21.09 | N/A |
CTGO butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
CTGO butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on CTGO. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use butterfly on CTGO
Butterflies on CTGO are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect CTGO to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
CTGO thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for CTGO extends from approximately $16.78 on the downside to $23.40 on the upside. A CTGO long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if CTGO settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current CTGO IV rank near 7.30% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on CTGO at 57.50%. As a Basic Materials name, CTGO options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to CTGO-specific events.
CTGO butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. CTGO positions also carry Basic Materials sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move CTGO alongside the broader basket even when CTGO-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current CTGO chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on CTGO?
- A butterfly on CTGO is the butterfly strategy applied to CTGO (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With CTGO stock at $20.09 on the most recent close, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed CTGO chain strike and the premiums come straight from that session's bid/ask midpoint.
- How are CTGO butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the CTGO butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 57.50%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a CTGO butterfly?
- The breakeven for the CTGO butterfly priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from the end-of-day chain's premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The CTGO market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move in the same options snapshot is approximately 16.48%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on CTGO?
- Butterflies on CTGO are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect CTGO to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current CTGO implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- CTGO ATM IV is at 57.50% with IV rank near 7.30%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.