CRNC Butterfly Strategy
CRNC (Cerence Inc.), in the Technology sector, (Software - Application industry), listed on NASDAQ.
Cerence Inc. provides AI powered virtual assistants for the mobility/transportation market worldwide. The company offers edge software components; cloud-connected components and related toolkits and applications; and virtual assistant coexistence and professional services. It also provides conversational artificial intelligence-based solutions, including speech recognition, natural language understanding, speech signal enhancement, text-to-speech, and acoustic modeling technology. Cerence Inc. is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
CRNC (Cerence Inc.) trades in the Technology sector, specifically Software - Application, with a market capitalization of approximately $482.4M, a beta of 2.89 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 5.85-13.738, average daily share volume of 767K, a public-listing history dating back to 2019, approximately 1K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how CRNC stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 2.89 indicates CRNC has historically moved more than the broader market, amplifying both the directional payoff and the realized volatility relative to an index-equivalent position.
What is a butterfly on CRNC?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current CRNC snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $9.84, ATM IV 83.30%, IV rank 14.08%, expected move 23.88%. The butterfly on CRNC below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 245-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on CRNC specifically: CRNC IV at 83.30% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a CRNC butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 23.88% (roughly $2.35 on the underlying). The 245-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated CRNC expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on CRNC should anchor to the underlying notional of $9.84 per share and to the trader's directional view on CRNC stock.
CRNC butterfly setup
The CRNC butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With CRNC near $9.84, the first option leg uses a $9.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed CRNC chain at a 245-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 CRNC shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $9.00 | $3.55 |
| Sell 2 | Call | $10.00 | $2.95 |
| Buy 1 | Call | $10.00 | $2.95 |
CRNC butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- -$60.00
- Max Profit (per contract)
- $40.00
- Max Loss (per contract)
- -$60.00
- Breakeven(s)
- $9.60
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- 0.667
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
CRNC butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on CRNC. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
| Underlying Price | % From Spot | P&L at Expiration |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | -99.9% | -$60.00 |
| $2.18 | -77.8% | -$60.00 |
| $4.36 | -55.7% | -$60.00 |
| $6.53 | -33.6% | -$60.00 |
| $8.71 | -11.5% | -$60.00 |
| $10.88 | +10.6% | +$40.00 |
| $13.06 | +32.7% | +$40.00 |
| $15.23 | +54.8% | +$40.00 |
| $17.41 | +76.9% | +$40.00 |
| $19.58 | +99.0% | +$40.00 |
When traders use butterfly on CRNC
Butterflies on CRNC are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect CRNC to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
CRNC thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for CRNC extends from approximately $7.49 on the downside to $12.19 on the upside. A CRNC long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if CRNC settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current CRNC IV rank near 14.08% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on CRNC at 83.30%. As a Technology name, CRNC options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to CRNC-specific events.
CRNC butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. CRNC positions also carry Technology sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move CRNC alongside the broader basket even when CRNC-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current CRNC chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on CRNC?
- A butterfly on CRNC is the butterfly strategy applied to CRNC (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With CRNC stock trading near $9.84, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed CRNC chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are CRNC butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the CRNC butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 83.30%), the computed maximum profit is $40.00 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$60.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a CRNC butterfly?
- The breakeven for the CRNC butterfly priced on this page is roughly $9.60 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current CRNC market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 23.88%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on CRNC?
- Butterflies on CRNC are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect CRNC to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current CRNC implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- CRNC ATM IV is at 83.30% with IV rank near 14.08%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.