CPSS Butterfly Strategy
CPSS (Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc.), in the Financial Services sector, (Financial - Credit Services industry), listed on NASDAQ.
Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. operates as a specialty finance company in the United States. It is involved in the purchase and service of retail automobile contracts originated by franchised automobile dealers and select independent dealers in the sale of new and used automobiles, light trucks, and passenger vans. The company, through its automobile contract purchases, offers indirect financing to the customers of dealers with limited credit histories or past credit problems. It serves as an alternative source of financing for dealers, facilitating sales to customers who are not able to obtain financing from commercial banks, credit unions, and the captive finance companies. The company also acquires installment purchase contracts in four merger and acquisition transactions; purchases immaterial amounts of vehicle purchase money loans from non-affiliated lenders. and offers financing directly to sub-prime consumers to facilitate their purchase of a new or used automobile, light truck, or passenger van. It services its automobile contracts through its branches in California, Nevada, Virginia, Florida, and Illinois.
CPSS (Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc.) trades in the Financial Services sector, specifically Financial - Credit Services, with a market capitalization of approximately $210.7M, a trailing P/E of 10.48, a beta of 1.12 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 6.67-10.49, average daily share volume of 22K, a public-listing history dating back to 1992, approximately 943 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how CPSS stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.
A beta of 1.12 places CPSS roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline. The trailing P/E of 10.48 is on the value side, where IV often compresses outside event windows because forward growth expectations are already discounted into the share price.
What is a butterfly on CPSS?
A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.
Current CPSS snapshot
As of May 15, 2026, spot at $9.79, ATM IV 107.20%, IV rank 25.49%, expected move 30.73%. The butterfly on CPSS below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 34-day expiry.
Why this butterfly structure on CPSS specifically: CPSS IV at 107.20% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a CPSS butterfly, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 30.73% (roughly $3.01 on the underlying). The 34-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated CPSS expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on CPSS should anchor to the underlying notional of $9.79 per share and to the trader's directional view on CPSS stock.
CPSS butterfly setup
The CPSS butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With CPSS near $9.79, the first option leg uses a $9.30 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed CPSS chain at a 34-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 CPSS shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).
| Action | Type | Strike / Basis | Premium (est) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy 1 | Call | $9.30 | N/A |
| Sell 2 | Call | $9.79 | N/A |
| Buy 1 | Call | $10.28 | N/A |
CPSS butterfly risk and reward
- Net Premium / Debit
- N/A
- Max Profit (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Max Loss (per contract)
- Unbounded
- Breakeven(s)
- None on modeled curve
- Risk / Reward Ratio
- N/A
Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.
CPSS butterfly payoff curve
Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on CPSS. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.
When traders use butterfly on CPSS
Butterflies on CPSS are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect CPSS to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
CPSS thesis for this butterfly
The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for CPSS extends from approximately $6.78 on the downside to $12.80 on the upside. A CPSS long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if CPSS settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current CPSS IV rank near 25.49% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on CPSS at 107.20%. As a Financial Services name, CPSS options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to CPSS-specific events.
CPSS butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. CPSS positions also carry Financial Services sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move CPSS alongside the broader basket even when CPSS-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current CPSS chain quotes before placing a trade.
Frequently asked questions
- What is a butterfly on CPSS?
- A butterfly on CPSS is the butterfly strategy applied to CPSS (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With CPSS stock trading near $9.79, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed CPSS chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
- How are CPSS butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?
- Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the CPSS butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 107.20%), the computed maximum profit is unbounded per contract and the computed maximum loss is unbounded per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
- What is the breakeven for a CPSS butterfly?
- The breakeven for the CPSS butterfly priced on this page is no defined breakeven on the modeled curve at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current CPSS market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 30.73%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
- When should you consider a butterfly on CPSS?
- Butterflies on CPSS are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect CPSS to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
- How does current CPSS implied volatility affect this butterfly?
- CPSS ATM IV is at 107.20% with IV rank near 25.49%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.