COGT Bear Put Spread Strategy

COGT (Cogent Biosciences, Inc.), in the Healthcare sector, (Biotechnology industry), listed on NASDAQ.

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. is a biotechnology firm dedicated to creating targeted treatments for illnesses rooted in specific genetic anomalies. The company's primary therapeutic candidate is CGT9486, a selective tyrosine kinase inhibitor engineered to block the KIT D816V mutation, a key driver of systemic mastocytosis, along with other KIT exon 17 mutations observed in individuals suffering from advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). Furthermore, Cogent holds a licensing pact with Plexxikon Inc., granting it rights for the investigation, advancement, and marketing of bezuclastinib. Previously known as Unum Therapeutics Inc., the company adopted its current name, Cogent Biosciences, Inc., in October 2020. Established in 2014, Cogent Biosciences is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

COGT (Cogent Biosciences, Inc.) trades in the Healthcare sector, specifically Biotechnology, with a market capitalization of approximately $6.51B, a beta of 0.35 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 7.07-43.73, average daily share volume of 2.4M, a public-listing history dating back to 2018, approximately 205 full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how COGT stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 0.35 indicates COGT has historically moved less than the broader market, dampening realized volatility and producing tighter expected-move bands per unit of dollar exposure.

What is a bear put spread on COGT?

A bear put spread buys an at-the-money put and sells an out-of-the-money put at a lower strike for defined risk and defined reward bounded by the strike width.

Current COGT snapshot

As of June 30, 2026, spot at $38.75, ATM IV 46.30%, IV rank 0.39%, expected move 13.27%. The bear put spread on COGT below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 17-day expiry.

Why this bear put spread structure on COGT specifically: COGT IV at 46.30% is on the cheap side of its 1-year range, which favors premium-buying structures like a COGT bear put spread, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 13.27% (roughly $5.14 on the underlying). The 17-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated COGT expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on COGT should anchor to the underlying notional of $38.75 per share and to the trader's directional view on COGT stock.

COGT bear put spread setup

The COGT bear put spread below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With COGT near $38.75, the first option leg uses a $39.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed COGT chain at a 17-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 COGT shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

ActionTypeStrike / BasisPremium (est)
Buy 1Put$39.00$1.40
Sell 1Put$37.00$0.93

COGT bear put spread risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit
-$47.50
Max Profit (per contract)
$152.50
Max Loss (per contract)
-$47.50
Breakeven(s)
$38.53
Risk / Reward Ratio
3.211

Max profit equals strike width minus net debit times 100; max loss equals net debit times 100. Breakeven is long-put strike minus net debit.

COGT bear put spread payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the bear put spread on COGT. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

COGT bear put spread profit and loss curve at expiration with breakevens and current spot markedCOGT bear put spread payoff at expiration$0$50$100$150$10$20$30$40$50$60$70Underlying Price ($)P&L at Expiration ($)BE $38.52Spot $38.75
P&L at expiration across the modeled underlying-price range. Green shading marks profitable regions, red shading marks loss regions. Dotted purple verticals mark breakevens; the solid dark vertical marks current spot.
Underlying Price% From SpotP&L at Expiration
$0.01-100.0%+$152.50
$8.58-77.9%+$152.50
$17.14-55.8%+$152.50
$25.71-33.7%+$152.50
$34.28-11.5%+$152.50
$42.84+10.6%-$47.50
$51.41+32.7%-$47.50
$59.98+54.8%-$47.50
$68.54+76.9%-$47.50
$77.11+99.0%-$47.50

When traders use bear put spread on COGT

Bear put spreads on COGT reduce the cost of a bearish COGT stock position by selling a lower-strike put; suited to moderate-decline theses where price reaches but does not vastly exceed the short strike.

COGT thesis for this bear put spread

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for COGT extends from approximately $33.61 on the downside to $43.89 on the upside. A COGT bear put spread caps both the risk and the reward of a bearish position; relative to an outright long put on COGT, the spread reduces the cost basis but limits the maximum profit to the strike width minus net debit. Current COGT IV rank near 0.39% sits in the lower third of its 1-year distribution, where IV often re-expands toward the mean; this favors premium-buying structures and disadvantages premium-selling structures on COGT at 46.30%. As a Healthcare name, COGT options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to COGT-specific events.

COGT bear put spread positions are structurally moderately bearish; the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. COGT positions also carry Healthcare sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move COGT alongside the broader basket even when COGT-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Long-premium structures like a bear put spread on COGT are particularly exposed to IV-crush risk through scheduled events (earnings, FDA decisions, central-bank meetings) where IV typically contracts post-event regardless of the directional outcome. Always rebuild the position from current COGT chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a bear put spread on COGT?
A bear put spread on COGT is the bear put spread strategy applied to COGT (stock). The strategy is structurally moderately bearish: A bear put spread buys an at-the-money put and sells an out-of-the-money put at a lower strike for defined risk and defined reward bounded by the strike width. With COGT stock trading near $38.75, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed COGT chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
How are COGT bear put spread max profit and max loss calculated?
Max profit equals strike width minus net debit times 100; max loss equals net debit times 100. Breakeven is long-put strike minus net debit. For the COGT bear put spread priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 46.30%), the computed maximum profit is $152.50 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$47.50 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a COGT bear put spread?
The breakeven for the COGT bear put spread priced on this page is roughly $38.53 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current COGT market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 13.27%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a bear put spread on COGT?
Bear put spreads on COGT reduce the cost of a bearish COGT stock position by selling a lower-strike put; suited to moderate-decline theses where price reaches but does not vastly exceed the short strike.
How does current COGT implied volatility affect this bear put spread?
COGT ATM IV is at 46.30% with IV rank near 0.39%, which is on the low end of its 1-year range. Premium-buying structures (long call, long put, debit spreads) are relatively cheap in this regime; premium-selling structures collect less credit per unit risk.

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