How are CNQ butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the CNQ butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 32.20%), the computed maximum profit is $148.25 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$40.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.

What is the breakeven for a CNQ butterfly?

The breakeven for the CNQ butterfly priced on this page is roughly $37.40 and $40.60 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current CNQ market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 9.23%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.

How does current CNQ implied volatility affect this butterfly?

CNQ ATM IV is at 32.20% with IV rank near 65.19%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.

CNQ Butterfly Strategy

CNQ (Canadian Natural Resources Limited), in the Energy sector, (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry), listed on NYSE.

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) is an integrated energy enterprise engaged across the full spectrum of upstream and downstream activities related to crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), encompassing acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sales. Its diverse portfolio of hydrocarbon products encompasses synthetic crude oil (SCO), light and medium crude, bitumen (also known as thermal oil), along with both primary heavy crude oil and specialized Pelican Lake heavy crude. Beyond exploration and production, the company holds midstream and refining assets, notably comprising two crude oil pipeline networks and a half-interest (50% working interest) in an 84-megawatt cogeneration facility situated at Primrose. As of December 31, 2020, CNQ reported substantial reserves. Its proved crude oil, bitumen, and NGLs reserves amounted to 10,528 million barrels (MMbbl), escalating to 13,271 MMbbl when probable reserves are included. Proved synthetic crude oil (SCO) reserves stood at 6,998 MMbbl, with total proved plus probable SCO reserves reaching 7,535 MMbbl.

CNQ (Canadian Natural Resources Limited) trades in the Energy sector, specifically Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, with a market capitalization of approximately $82.36B, a trailing P/E of 12.03, a beta of 0.88 versus the broader market, a 52-week range of 29.3-51.34, average daily share volume of 10.3M, a public-listing history dating back to 2000, approximately 11K full-time employees. These structural characteristics shape how CNQ stock options price implied volatility around earnings windows, capital events, and macro-driven sector rotations.

A beta of 0.88 places CNQ roughly in line with broader market moves, so the strategy payoff and realized volatility track the index-equivalent baseline. CNQ pays a dividend, which adjusts put-call parity and shifts the ex-dividend pricing across the listed chain.

What is a butterfly on CNQ?

A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration.

Current CNQ snapshot

As of June 29, 2026, spot at $39.31, ATM IV 32.20%, IV rank 65.19%, expected move 9.23%. The butterfly on CNQ below is built from the same end-of-day chain, with strikes snapped to listed contracts and premiums pulled from the bid/ask midpoint at a 32-day expiry.

Why this butterfly structure on CNQ specifically: CNQ IV at 32.20% is mid-range versus its 1-year history, so strategy selection should anchor more to the directional thesis than to the IV regime, with a market-implied 1-standard-deviation move of approximately 9.23% (roughly $3.63 on the underlying). The 32-day window matched to the front-month expiry keeps theta exposure bounded while still capturing the post-snapshot move; longer-dated CNQ expiries trade a higher absolute premium for lower per-day decay. Position sizing on CNQ should anchor to the underlying notional of $39.31 per share and to the trader's directional view on CNQ stock.

CNQ butterfly setup

The CNQ butterfly below is built from the end-of-day chain, with each option leg priced at the bid/ask midpoint of its listed strike. With CNQ near $39.31, the first option leg uses a $37.00 strike; additional legs (when the strategy has them) anchor to spot-relative offsets. Premiums come from the bid/ask midpoint on the listed CNQ chain at a 32-day expiry; the cross-strike IV skew is reflected directly in the per-leg values rather than approximated. Quantity sizing assumes one contract per option leg (or 100 CNQ shares for the stock leg in covered calls and collars).

Action	Type	Strike / Basis	Premium (est)
Buy 1	Call	$37.00	$3.30
Sell 2	Call	$39.00	$1.98
Buy 1	Call	$41.00	$1.05

CNQ butterfly risk and reward

Net Premium / Debit: -$40.00
Max Profit (per contract): $148.25
Max Loss (per contract): -$40.00
Breakeven(s): $37.40, $40.60
Risk / Reward Ratio: 3.706

Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit.

CNQ butterfly payoff curve

Modeled P&L at expiration across a range of underlying prices for the butterfly on CNQ. Each row is one sampled price point from the computed payoff curve; the full curve uses 200 price points internally before being summarized into 10 rows here.

P&L at expiration across the modeled underlying-price range. Green shading marks profitable regions, red shading marks loss regions. Dotted purple verticals mark breakevens; the solid dark vertical marks current spot.

Underlying Price	% From Spot	P&L at Expiration
$0.01	-100.0%	-$40.00
$8.70	-77.9%	-$40.00
$17.39	-55.8%	-$40.00
$26.08	-33.7%	-$40.00
$34.77	-11.5%	-$40.00
$43.46	+10.6%	-$40.00
$52.15	+32.7%	-$40.00
$60.84	+54.8%	-$40.00
$69.53	+76.9%	-$40.00
$78.22	+99.0%	-$40.00

When traders use butterfly on CNQ

Butterflies on CNQ are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect CNQ to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.

CNQ thesis for this butterfly

The market-implied 1-standard-deviation range for CNQ extends from approximately $35.68 on the downside to $42.94 on the upside. A CNQ long call butterfly is a pinning play: it pays maximum at the middle strike if CNQ settles there at expiration, with the wing legs capping both the cost and the maximum loss to the net debit. Current CNQ IV rank near 65.19% is mid-range against its 1-year distribution, so the IV signal is neutral; the butterfly thesis on CNQ should anchor more to the directional view and the expected-move geometry. As a Energy name, CNQ options can move on sector-level news flow (peer earnings, regulatory updates, industry-specific macro data) in addition to CNQ-specific events.

CNQ butterfly positions are structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward); the modeled P&L assumes European-style exercise at expiration and ignores early assignment, transaction costs, dividends paid before expiry on the stock leg (when present), and the bid-ask spread on the listed chain. CNQ positions also carry Energy sector concentration risk; news flow inside the sector (peer earnings, regulatory shifts, supply-chain headlines) can move CNQ alongside the broader basket even when CNQ-specific fundamentals are unchanged. Always rebuild the position from current CNQ chain quotes before placing a trade.

Frequently asked questions

What is a butterfly on CNQ?: A butterfly on CNQ is the butterfly strategy applied to CNQ (stock). The strategy is structurally neutral / pin (limited-risk, limited-reward): A long call butterfly buys one lower-strike call, sells two ATM calls, and buys one higher-strike call, paying a small net debit for a defined-risk position that maxes out if the underlying pins the middle strike at expiration. With CNQ stock trading near $39.31, the strikes shown on this page are snapped to the nearest listed CNQ chain strike and the premiums come straight from the end-of-day bid/ask midpoint.
How are CNQ butterfly max profit and max loss calculated?: Max profit equals the wing width minus net debit times 100 (reached when the underlying pins the middle strike); max loss equals the net debit times 100. Two breakevens at lower-wing plus debit and upper-wing minus debit. For the CNQ butterfly priced from the end-of-day chain at a 30-day expiry (ATM IV 32.20%), the computed maximum profit is $148.25 per contract and the computed maximum loss is -$40.00 per contract. Live intraday quotes will differ as the chain moves through the trading session.
What is the breakeven for a CNQ butterfly?: The breakeven for the CNQ butterfly priced on this page is roughly $37.40 and $40.60 at expiration, derived from end-of-day chain premiums. Breakeven is the underlying price at which the strategy's P&L crosses zero ignoring transaction costs and assignment risk. The current CNQ market-implied 1-standard-deviation expected move is approximately 9.23%; if the move sits well outside the breakeven distance, the structure's risk-reward becomes correspondingly tighter.
When should you consider a butterfly on CNQ?: Butterflies on CNQ are pinning bets - traders use them when they expect CNQ to settle near a specific level at expiration (often the prior close, a round number, or the max-pain strike) and want defined-risk exposure to that outcome.
How does current CNQ implied volatility affect this butterfly?: CNQ ATM IV is at 32.20% with IV rank near 65.19%, which is mid-range against its 1-year history. Strategy selection depends more on directional thesis and expected move than on a strong IV signal.