CMG Analyst Ratings
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Restaurants industry, with a market capitalization near $38.96B, listed on NYSE, employing roughly 130,301 people, carrying a beta of 0.96 to the broader market. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Led by Scott Boatwright, public since 2006-01-26.
Analyst Ratings
In the October 2026 monthly count, 36 analysts rated CMG: 4 Strong Buy, 20 Buy, 12 Hold, 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell.
Twelve months earlier, in October 2025: 38 analysts, 5 Strong Buy, 23 Buy, 10 Hold, 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell.
Price Targets
- Average Target
- $42.41
- Median Target
- $41.00
- High
- $50.00
- Low
- $38.00
- Targets Published, Last 12 Months
- 57
Recent Price Targets
The 5 most recent of 57 price targets published in the last 12 months.
| Date | Firm | Analyst | Target | Price When Posted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Robert W. Baird | Chris O'Cull | $40.00 | $36.90 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Argus Research | Not named | $45.00 | $37.15 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | D.A. Davidson | Not named | $50.00 | $38.49 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Stephens | Jim Salera | $40.00 | $34.24 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Robert W. Baird | Not named | $44.00 | $34.24 |
Recent Upgrades & Downgrades
| Date | Firm | Action | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight |
| Sep 1, 2026 | B of A Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Mizuho | maintain | Outperform | Outperform |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Baird | downgrade | Outperform | Neutral |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BTIG | maintain | Buy | Buy |
Quantitative Rating
CMG carries a model grade of B (overall score 3 of 5), computed from six valuation and financial measures (discounted cash flow, return on equity, return on assets, debt to equity, price to earnings and price to book), each scored 1 to 5. It is not an analyst rating.
How to Read CMG Analyst Coverage
Sell-side equity analysts publish three primary outputs: ratings (Strong Buy / Buy / Hold / Sell / Strong Sell, or firm-specific equivalents), price targets, and EPS / revenue estimate revisions. Rating consensus moves slowly relative to price; it reflects 12-month directional conviction rather than near-term momentum. Price targets are more responsive but typically drift behind realized price during sharp moves. The most actionable signal for options traders is a cluster of ratings actions across multiple firms within a short window, which compresses or expands implied volatility on a horizon of days to weeks and shifts the put-call skew toward the directional consensus. The recent-actions table above shows the five most recent firm-level changes; longer histories live behind aggregator sources.
For event-driven options sizing, pair the consensus rating and target distribution with the implied-volatility surface and dealer-positioning view. Aggressive target hikes from multiple firms tend to tighten put skew (downside protection becomes relatively cheaper); aggressive cuts widen put skew. The size of the IV response in the hours after a rating change is visible on the per-ticker volatility skew page and the gamma-exposure page, both of which show how dealer hedging propagates the analyst-driven flow into the listed options chain.
Learn how analyst ratings is reported and how to read the data →
Frequently asked CMG analyst ratings questions
- What is the CMG consensus price target?
- As of the latest aggregator update, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) carries a consensus 12-month price target of $42.41. Target ranges run from a low of $38.00 to a high of $50.00. The target is the average of the price targets published by sell-side equity analysts covering the name.
- What is the analyst rating consensus on CMG?
- In the October 2026 monthly count, 36 analysts rated CMG, and the distribution tilts to the Buy side: 4 Strong Buy, 20 Buy, 12 Hold, 0 Sell and 0 Strong Sell. Rating consensus moves slowly relative to price; it reflects sell-side conviction over a 12-month horizon rather than near-term momentum.
- What recent ratings actions has CMG seen?
- The five most recent ratings actions on CMG appear on the page above. Sell-side rating changes are watched for two reasons: an upgrade or downgrade with a meaningful target revision moves the consensus and can trigger short-term positioning shifts, and the firm-level rating cluster (multiple firms moving in the same direction within a short window) is a clearer signal than any single action. Options markets often price the implied-vol response within minutes of the announcement.
- How do analyst targets affect CMG options pricing?
- Analyst target revisions tend to be priced in by the lit options market within minutes of publication, but persistent target drift over weeks does correlate with implied-volatility movement. Aggressive target hikes from multiple firms inside a single quarter tighten put skew (downside protection becomes cheaper relative to upside speculation); aggressive cuts widen put skew. The most actionable read is the implied-vol response in the hours after a target change, which is visible on the per-ticker volatility skew page.